Florida -113
Pitchers: Nolasco/Astacio
Nolasco has been dynamite the past 5 or 6 times out and Washington is struggling badly on offense. Pedro Astacio's arm is dinged and he needs surgery but for right now he's just taking a ton of cortisone shots. He had poor success in AAA and I don't think his arm will do well against a major league lineup at this point. I know Washington will get dominated by Nolasco and that's enough for me at -113.
St. Louis -104
Pitchers: Reyes/Smoltz
Reyes has been dynamite and with Atlanta not hitting well and striking out a ton, Reyes will likely have another great outing. John Smoltz this year has lost a step and although he's still a good pitcher, he's been giving up a few runs here and there and rarely dominating like he used to. The Cards hit very well and have a huge bullpen edge so -104 is not much to pay on this one.
Colorado -125
Pitchers: Cook/Lowry
The Rockies kill lefties (especially at home) and Lowry has not pitched well against the Rockies ever really and he also struggles on the road. The Rockies will hit him early and often. Cook has pitched very well this year and the Giants are very average on offense even with Bonds in the lineup. This one should be easy.
Dodgers -152
Pitchers: Lowe/Cruz
Derek Lowe has been dynamite at home this year and no one has hit him at all. The DBacks hit well at home but struggle on the road and I would not be surprised if they get shut out tonight. Cruz has pitched well in five starts but gotten rocked in two so he's somewhat of a tossup. The Dodgers hit sooooo well at home that I think he'll give up a run or two and that is all the Dodgers will need. LA has a great bullpen while Arizona's is crap and if the Dodgers aren't leading when Cruz leaves, they will be after the pen comes in.
White Sox -144
Pitchers: Garcia/Bedard
Freddy Garcia has done well at home and Baltimore has struggled to hit on the road. Bedard has struggled on the road and the White Sox hit lefties well and hit Bedard in 2 of 3 matchups last year. The White Sox just find ways to win ballgames and they should win this one.
Kansas City +260
Pitchers: Elarton/Santana
Elarton has struggled recently but Minnesota hits poorly on the road and Elarton dominated Minnesota in this stadium earlier this year. Kansas City put up 3 runs against Santana earlier in the year and they hit very well against lefties. KC is also hitting extremely well at home. This is a decent dog line that will be profitable in the long term.
Detroit -126
Pitchers: Blanton/Robertson
Blanton got rocked in Oakland earlier this year by the Tigers and Detroit is still hitting very well. Robertson is pitching extremely well and Oakland cannot touch lefties or anyone at all lately. I got in late on this one since this line was around a pick em at one point but value is still there.
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Pitchers: Nolasco/Astacio
Nolasco has been dynamite the past 5 or 6 times out and Washington is struggling badly on offense. Pedro Astacio's arm is dinged and he needs surgery but for right now he's just taking a ton of cortisone shots. He had poor success in AAA and I don't think his arm will do well against a major league lineup at this point. I know Washington will get dominated by Nolasco and that's enough for me at -113.
St. Louis -104
Pitchers: Reyes/Smoltz
Reyes has been dynamite and with Atlanta not hitting well and striking out a ton, Reyes will likely have another great outing. John Smoltz this year has lost a step and although he's still a good pitcher, he's been giving up a few runs here and there and rarely dominating like he used to. The Cards hit very well and have a huge bullpen edge so -104 is not much to pay on this one.
Colorado -125
Pitchers: Cook/Lowry
The Rockies kill lefties (especially at home) and Lowry has not pitched well against the Rockies ever really and he also struggles on the road. The Rockies will hit him early and often. Cook has pitched very well this year and the Giants are very average on offense even with Bonds in the lineup. This one should be easy.
Dodgers -152
Pitchers: Lowe/Cruz
Derek Lowe has been dynamite at home this year and no one has hit him at all. The DBacks hit well at home but struggle on the road and I would not be surprised if they get shut out tonight. Cruz has pitched well in five starts but gotten rocked in two so he's somewhat of a tossup. The Dodgers hit sooooo well at home that I think he'll give up a run or two and that is all the Dodgers will need. LA has a great bullpen while Arizona's is crap and if the Dodgers aren't leading when Cruz leaves, they will be after the pen comes in.
White Sox -144
Pitchers: Garcia/Bedard
Freddy Garcia has done well at home and Baltimore has struggled to hit on the road. Bedard has struggled on the road and the White Sox hit lefties well and hit Bedard in 2 of 3 matchups last year. The White Sox just find ways to win ballgames and they should win this one.
Kansas City +260
Pitchers: Elarton/Santana
Elarton has struggled recently but Minnesota hits poorly on the road and Elarton dominated Minnesota in this stadium earlier this year. Kansas City put up 3 runs against Santana earlier in the year and they hit very well against lefties. KC is also hitting extremely well at home. This is a decent dog line that will be profitable in the long term.
Detroit -126
Pitchers: Blanton/Robertson
Blanton got rocked in Oakland earlier this year by the Tigers and Detroit is still hitting very well. Robertson is pitching extremely well and Oakland cannot touch lefties or anyone at all lately. I got in late on this one since this line was around a pick em at one point but value is still there.
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