Jim and Z. I just read what I have been looking for in the other thread. Thanks Z, I have been spending endless hours trying to figure out what stats Jim sees, because I am convinced there is no common thread stat-wise that these winners share. Now I understand...you are watching a lot of games, you're a smart guy, and toss in a little luck and of course the value factor that you preach so much and kaboom you get hot and rake. Many of these winners paying parlay type return so damn forgive me for trying to disect your methodology. This is my first year and now that I know how you roll it's actually refreshing. Because I have said the same thing many times to myself after spending hours of time capping a game..."the line has already factored in the stats" that's no shit. They have spreadsheets that crunch it from every angle. Now it all is falling into place. It's still a battle against public perception in regards to finding value. That's what we play against. So, my hats off to you PKJ for being astute enough to "pick your spots" doggie style. It's encouraging more so than the value because it is more about using your sense than relying on stats. I like that. Stats still are the cornerstone, a reference, but to know that you do what you do using the things you mentioned helps me out tremendously.
And the Texas pick that is a solid pick. I wouldn't be surprised if Halliday no hits the anemic Texas offense today. And Toronto bats are definitely capable of doing serious dmage and they are due.
One thing I can see with Jim's style, and I know he said he uses a situation as a tool, but it seems like he sometimes goes with a team that's "due" which in general is a betting no no. But I like it. It can be just another tool, albiet a dangerous one, that can be used to turn a profit. Comments please about a team or pitcher being "due" as opposed to "never bet against a streak" mentality...