MONDAY'S Results:
Decent day for Method 1, but Method 2 really suffers from not getting those alternative runline dog wins. I'm going to drop Method 2 from this point on. I am not going to be doing this thread much more than until the all-star break. Then, it is going underground. I know this hasn't been a long run, but I see enough to believe that this will work for me and be a good money maker. I am not using a system. I am trying to finesse (cap/gut/team characteristics) the plays out each day. I believe I can do that and have it work well.
If any of you do this, then I would advise that you use two or more books to make your plays as not to show up on anyone's radar. To the ones that don't believe this will work over the long-run then that sounds silly to have more than one book for this (even more silly than trying this in the first place.) However, I am going to play each side at different books and I suggest anyone that does this do the same.
Someone asked me about the problem of one book getting a really low balance and another book getting the larger balance. This will even out a bit, but that is the price for avoiding flagging an account from a particular book. Just rebalance once in a while if you have to.
I still say that I suggest you not put any money on my plays. We have a few short days left to continue seeing if my methodology holds water. I am in no way wagering on this yet. If it continues well then I will drop this thread and begin just after the All Star break. Good luck. tulsa
Method 1: both teams -1.5
Cinci
Milwaukee
LOSE 200
Washington +105
Atlanta +90
LA Dodgers +35
Texas +78
Method 2: Dog ML & Fav -1.5
Cinci -1.5 +140
Milwaukee -105
$0 on this one...
Washington +7
St. Louis -1.5 +155
Atlanta -104
$0 on this one...
LA Dodgers +35
Texas +1
Method 1: both -1.5
OVERALL: +7.90 units over 34 plays
Rate of Return: 7.90 units/68 units risked = 11.6%
Method 2: dog ml and fav -1.5
OVERALL: +1.89 units over 21 plays
Rate of Return: 1.89 units/42 units risked = 4.5%
Decent day for Method 1, but Method 2 really suffers from not getting those alternative runline dog wins. I'm going to drop Method 2 from this point on. I am not going to be doing this thread much more than until the all-star break. Then, it is going underground. I know this hasn't been a long run, but I see enough to believe that this will work for me and be a good money maker. I am not using a system. I am trying to finesse (cap/gut/team characteristics) the plays out each day. I believe I can do that and have it work well.
If any of you do this, then I would advise that you use two or more books to make your plays as not to show up on anyone's radar. To the ones that don't believe this will work over the long-run then that sounds silly to have more than one book for this (even more silly than trying this in the first place.) However, I am going to play each side at different books and I suggest anyone that does this do the same.
Someone asked me about the problem of one book getting a really low balance and another book getting the larger balance. This will even out a bit, but that is the price for avoiding flagging an account from a particular book. Just rebalance once in a while if you have to.
I still say that I suggest you not put any money on my plays. We have a few short days left to continue seeing if my methodology holds water. I am in no way wagering on this yet. If it continues well then I will drop this thread and begin just after the All Star break. Good luck. tulsa
Method 1: both teams -1.5
Cinci
Milwaukee
LOSE 200
Washington +105
Atlanta +90
LA Dodgers +35
Texas +78
Method 2: Dog ML & Fav -1.5
Cinci -1.5 +140
Milwaukee -105
$0 on this one...
Washington +7
St. Louis -1.5 +155
Atlanta -104
$0 on this one...
LA Dodgers +35
Texas +1
Method 1: both -1.5
OVERALL: +7.90 units over 34 plays
Rate of Return: 7.90 units/68 units risked = 11.6%
Method 2: dog ml and fav -1.5
OVERALL: +1.89 units over 21 plays
Rate of Return: 1.89 units/42 units risked = 4.5%
