Glad to be posting the picks again. It takes a while to post these writeups, so I do them everyday. But I will try to do them as often as possible. Today the writeups wont be as deatiled as those in the past, but tomorrow I should have more time. Picks range from 1 unit to 4 units
1. Detroit -140 3 units with Bonderman conditional
This one is a no-brainer, but I will give you my reasons anyway. I am also taking this play on the runline of -1.5 and +111. But some guys wont bet runlines so here is the pick.
Lets look at the reasons to not take Seattle first. Seattle has dropped 4 games in a row and 5 of 6 games. In those 4 games, they have been outscored by 19 runs! That is an average of over 4.5 per game being outscored! All of these games were at home as well. Joel Pineiro is on the mound and boy is he a streaky pitcher. The good thing for this pick is that he is currently STREAKING in our favor!! In his last start, the was pounded for 7 earned runs in 2.2 innings. Ih his 4 previous starts to that one, he gave up 4,3,5 and 6 earned runs. His era for the season is 5.86. In his last three starts his era is 8.40 and he has a whip of 1.93. Now on to the reason why I like this pick!
Bonderman is on the hill for Detroit and he has been ON FIRE lately!! IN his last 6 starts, he hasnt given up more than 2 runs!!! In three of those starts, he only gave up 1 earned run! His era for the last 3 starts is an expected 1.89. For the season his era is 3.65. How about a few trends
<LI class=morehot>Tigers are 3-0 in their last 3 Friday games. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in Bonderman's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in Bonderman's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Tigers are 42-14 in their last 56 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Tigers are 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=more>Tigers are 11-4 in their last 15 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 road games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Tigers are 47-18 in their last 65 games on Grass. <LI class=more>Tigers are 44-17 in their last 61 games following a win. <LI class=more>Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Tigers are 37-15 in their last 52 overall. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 night games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Tigers are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-3 in their last 3 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-3 in their last 3 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-3 in their last 3 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. <LI class=more>Mariners are 16-35 in Pineiro's last 51 starts as an underdog. <LI class=more>Mariners are 6-14 in Pineiro's last 20 starts vs. American League Central. <LI class=more>Mariners are 5-12 in Pineiro's last 17 starts as a home underdog. <LI class=more>Mariners are 10-25 in Pineiro's last 35 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Mariners are 2-5 in Pineiro's last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Mariners are 6-17 in Pineiro's last 23 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Mariners are 2-7 in Pineiro's last 9 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Mariners are 2-7 in Pineiro's last 9 Friday starts. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 1-4 in Pineiro's last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
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2. Angels wayyyy under 7.5 runs 2 units
John Lackey is on the mound for Angels here. He has real solid all season with an outstanding ERA of 3.12. But it is his last 10 stars where he is really starting to turn it on. In his last 10 starts, he was roughed up in one start for 8 earned runs. But beyond that, he has has 9 quality starts. He went 7 innings on three occassions where he didnt give up a single run. He also has 2 starts where he only gave up 1 earned run. In his last start, he pitched 6.2 innings and didnt give up a run while striking out 10 batters and only walking one. IN 8 of his last 10 starts against Oakland, he has given up less than 2 earned runs in each of those including 2 games where he didnt give up any runs.
Zito is on the hill for Oakland. He has been equally impressive for the season with an era of 3.28. But for reason, lately Oakland cannot score for Zito. In his last 3 starts, he has received only 4 TOTAL run support! In his last 3 starts versus the Angels, he only received 4 runs as well. He actually shut out the Angels earlier this season.
There are not alot of great trends for an Angels over, but there sure are for an Oakland game to go under!
<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Athletics last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-1 in Athletics last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Athletics last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-2 in Athletics last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Athletics last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Athletics last 10 Friday games. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Athletics last 13 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 11-5-2 in Athletics last 18 home games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts following a team loss in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Over is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts after throwing more than 120 pitches in his last appearance. <LI class=morehot>Over is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
I will be back later with some more writeups.
1. Detroit -140 3 units with Bonderman conditional
This one is a no-brainer, but I will give you my reasons anyway. I am also taking this play on the runline of -1.5 and +111. But some guys wont bet runlines so here is the pick.
Lets look at the reasons to not take Seattle first. Seattle has dropped 4 games in a row and 5 of 6 games. In those 4 games, they have been outscored by 19 runs! That is an average of over 4.5 per game being outscored! All of these games were at home as well. Joel Pineiro is on the mound and boy is he a streaky pitcher. The good thing for this pick is that he is currently STREAKING in our favor!! In his last start, the was pounded for 7 earned runs in 2.2 innings. Ih his 4 previous starts to that one, he gave up 4,3,5 and 6 earned runs. His era for the season is 5.86. In his last three starts his era is 8.40 and he has a whip of 1.93. Now on to the reason why I like this pick!
Bonderman is on the hill for Detroit and he has been ON FIRE lately!! IN his last 6 starts, he hasnt given up more than 2 runs!!! In three of those starts, he only gave up 1 earned run! His era for the last 3 starts is an expected 1.89. For the season his era is 3.65. How about a few trends
<LI class=morehot>Tigers are 3-0 in their last 3 Friday games. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 8-1 in their last 9 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 8-2 in their last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in Bonderman's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Tigers are 4-1 in Bonderman's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Tigers are 42-14 in their last 56 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Tigers are 38-13 in their last 51 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=more>Tigers are 11-4 in their last 15 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 road games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 19-7 in their last 26 games as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Tigers are 47-18 in their last 65 games on Grass. <LI class=more>Tigers are 44-17 in their last 61 games following a win. <LI class=more>Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Tigers are 37-15 in their last 52 overall. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 night games. <LI class=more>Tigers are 36-15 in their last 51 vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Tigers are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-3 in their last 3 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-3 in their last 3 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-3 in their last 3 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 games on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 0-4 in their last 4 overall. <LI class=more>Mariners are 16-35 in Pineiro's last 51 starts as an underdog. <LI class=more>Mariners are 6-14 in Pineiro's last 20 starts vs. American League Central. <LI class=more>Mariners are 5-12 in Pineiro's last 17 starts as a home underdog. <LI class=more>Mariners are 10-25 in Pineiro's last 35 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Mariners are 2-5 in Pineiro's last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Mariners are 6-17 in Pineiro's last 23 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Mariners are 2-7 in Pineiro's last 9 starts as a home underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Mariners are 2-7 in Pineiro's last 9 Friday starts. <LI class=morecool>Mariners are 1-4 in Pineiro's last 5 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
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2. Angels wayyyy under 7.5 runs 2 units
John Lackey is on the mound for Angels here. He has real solid all season with an outstanding ERA of 3.12. But it is his last 10 stars where he is really starting to turn it on. In his last 10 starts, he was roughed up in one start for 8 earned runs. But beyond that, he has has 9 quality starts. He went 7 innings on three occassions where he didnt give up a single run. He also has 2 starts where he only gave up 1 earned run. In his last start, he pitched 6.2 innings and didnt give up a run while striking out 10 batters and only walking one. IN 8 of his last 10 starts against Oakland, he has given up less than 2 earned runs in each of those including 2 games where he didnt give up any runs.
Zito is on the hill for Oakland. He has been equally impressive for the season with an era of 3.28. But for reason, lately Oakland cannot score for Zito. In his last 3 starts, he has received only 4 TOTAL run support! In his last 3 starts versus the Angels, he only received 4 runs as well. He actually shut out the Angels earlier this season.
There are not alot of great trends for an Angels over, but there sure are for an Oakland game to go under!
<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Athletics last 7 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-1 in Athletics last 10 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Athletics last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-2 in Athletics last 13 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Athletics last 12 home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Athletics last 10 Friday games. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Athletics last 13 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 11-5-2 in Athletics last 18 home games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Zito's last 3 starts following a team loss in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Over is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts after throwing more than 120 pitches in his last appearance. <LI class=morehot>Over is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Zito's last 5 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
I will be back later with some more writeups.
