playersonly69's winning picks for Sunday with detailed writeups On a nice roll lately

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Rx. Senior
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<TABLE class=tborder id=post302174 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 id=td_post_302174>Plays range from 1 unit to 4 units. Not too many 4 unit plays however on a normal day. So a 3 unit play should be considered a great play as well

1. Minnesota -1.5 runs -120 3 units with Santana conditional

Real nice line here. Tons of value with a pitcher that has been on a nice roll like Santana. After losing 3 out of his first 4 decisions of the season, he has REALLY come on strong and has been extremely consistent. His only loss since the first three was against a tough Detroit ballclub, ON THE ROAD, that saw him pitch 8 solid innings of 4 hit ball and only giving up 2 earned runs while striking out 12. He has won 5 straight decisions and the team has won his last 9 starts in a row. Santana's record for the year is 9-4 with a 2.76 era. However the teams record during his starts is 14-4!! He was beat up a bit in his last start, but his 6 previous starts before that one saw him only give up 5 runs total in all of those games!! He never gave up more than 1 earned run in those 6 starts. In his 2 previous starts against TEXAS, he was solid. He only gave up 1 earned run in both of those starts. In Santana's previous 65 starts, the team has gone 53-15!!

I am a little worried that Minny has lost 3 of their last 4 games, but they sure were on a great run before that! They had won 11 games in a row and 19 out of 20 games! In those 19 games, only TWO games were decided by 1 run!
Texas is 4-9 in their last 13 games.

Obviously, there are some nice trends for a Minnesota play here. The trends below are not reflective of the Minnesota win yesterday.

<LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 day games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 8-0 in their last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 day games following a night game on the previous day. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 21-5 in their last 26 overall. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 8-2 in their last 10 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in Santana's last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 3-0 in Santana's last 3 Sunday starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in Santana's last 6 day starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 25-4 in Santana's last 29 starts during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 26-6 in Santana's last 32 starts with 5 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 16-4 in Santana's last 20 starts as a road favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 52-13 in Santana's last 65 starts as a favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 53-15 in Santana's last 68 starts. <LI class=more>Twins are 17-5 in Santana's last 22 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 49-15 in Santana's last 64 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Twins are 25-8 in Santana's last 33 starts as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 20-7 in Santana's last 27 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 19-7 in Santana's last 26 starts vs. American League West. <LI class=more>Twins are 19-7 in Santana's last 26 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 26-10 in Santana's last 36 road starts. <LI class=more>Twins are 23-9 in Santana's last 32 starts on Grass. <LI class=more>Twins are 33-13 in Santana's last 46 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Twins are 25-10 in Santana's last 35 starts as a favorite of -151 to -200.<!-- google_ad_section_end -->
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2. Minnesota under 8.5 +105 2 units!

Most of the stats for this pick are in the post above! John Koronka has been pitching better of last for Texas. In his last 4 starts, he has no given up more than 3 earned runs.


<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rangers last 4 day games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rangers last 3 games as a home underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rangers last 4 day games following a night game on the previous day. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rangers last 3 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rangers last 3 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rangers last 4 games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rangers last 3 during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rangers last 4 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Rangers last 4 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Rangers last 3 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-1 in Rangers last 10 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 21-7-0 in Rangers last 28 games following a loss. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Rangers last 11 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Rangers last 11 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Rangers last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Koronka's last 3 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Koronka's last 3 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Santana's last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Santana's last 7 starts vs. American League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Santana's last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-0 in Santana's last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 Sunday games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Twins last 9 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Twins last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3-1 in Twins last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=more>Under is 11-4-1 in Twins last 16 games following a loss. <LI class=more>Under is 19-7-0 in Twins last 26 games as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Twins last 7 during game 2 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 17-7-1 in Twins last 25 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 17-7-1 in Twins last 25 road games. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-1 in Twins last 14 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 41-20-0 in Twins last 61 day games.


I will be back with some more plays in a few minutes
 

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after his poor outting against KC, Santana will be looking to get back to business.

Nice write up.
 

Rx. Senior
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3. Anaheim under 8.5 1 unit

Not a real strong play here, and because of that, no need to write it up too much. Having said that, I am betting quite a bit on this play as I like it. Haren is on the mound for Oakland and he has been a model of consistency lately. His last start saw him pitch 7 innings of 1 earned run ball. In 6 out of his last 7 starts, he gave up 2 earned runs or less. In Santana's 4 career starts vs Oakland has saw him OWN Oakland! In those 4 starts, he only gave up 2,1,0 and 2 earned runs!


<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Athletics last 8 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Athletics last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Athletics last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Athletics last 9 Sunday games. <LI class=more>Under is 10-3-0 in Athletics last 13 day games following a night game on the previous day. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Athletics last 8 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3-1 in Athletics last 13 home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-1 in Athletics last 8 vs. American League West. . <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Athletics last 7 home games. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Athletics last 7 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Athletics last 7 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 14-6-0 in Athletics last 20 day games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-1 in Athletics last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Athletics last 13 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 11-5-0 in Athletics last 16 during game 3 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 35-16-3 in Athletics last 54 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-2 in Haren's last 5 starts vs. American League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-2 in Haren's last 8 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Haren's last 5 starts during game 3 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-2 in Haren's last 10 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Haren's last 8 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-1 in Haren's last 15 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-1 in Haren's last 8 home starts vs. a team with a losing record.


4. Arizona +135 1 unit with Cruz conditional

Looking at the numbers here, most handicappers will be betting on Colorado here. But I actually like Juan Cruz as a pitcher and try to take him when I can get the odds!

Cruz was hit hard in his last start, but in his 3 previous starts prior to that he was pitching lights out! He pitched shutout ball in 2 of those starts and only gave up 2 earned runs in the other start. The only problem with him is that he is really just a long reliever. He cannot pitch longer than 6 innings really, so that could be a problem.

Aaron Cook is on the mound for Colorado. His overall record is 6-7 but the team's record when he starts is only 6-11. And in his last 8 starts, the team's record is 1-7!!


<LI class=morecool>Rockies are 1-4 in Cook's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 1-4 in Cook's last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 1-7 in Cook's last 8 starts. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 1-7 in Cook's last 8 starts on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-4 in Cook's last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-5 in Cook's last 5 starts vs. National League West. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-3 in Cook's last 3 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-4 in Cook's last 4 home starts. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-3 in Cook's last 3 starts during game 3 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-6 in Cook's last 6 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-4 in Cook's last 4 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Rockies are 0-4 in Cook's last 4 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.

5. San Francisco under 8.5 runs 3 units

There are real nice umpire trends in this game.


<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Cuzzi's last 3 games behind home plate. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Cuzzi's last 3 day games behind home plate vs. San Francisco. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Cuzzi's last 8 day games behind home plate. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-1 in Cuzzi's last 8 games behind home plate vs. San Francisco. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Cuzzi's last 6 Sunday games behind home plate.

Schmidt is on the mound for San Francisco. He has been pitching real well over his last 10 starts. In those 10 starts, one start was a sutout and in 5 of the starts he only gave up 1 earned run. In three of the remaining 10, he only gave up 2 earned runs! In his last 3 starts against the Dodgers, he has only given up 5 runs collectively! Schmidt has a season long era of 2.69. Howver in his last 3 starts he is even better at 1.89.

Aaron Sele is on the hill for the Dodgers. He has looked better of late. In his last start against Arizona, he pitched 7 strong innings while only giving up 2 earned runs. Sele has an era for the season of 3.05.

Certainly after scoring so many runs of late, these guys will tire just before the All-Star break and be thinking about going home, etc.
<LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Giants last 8 games as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Giants last 8 games as a road favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-1 in Giants last 14 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Schmidt's last 3 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Schmidt's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Schmidt's last 5 road starts.
 

Rx. Senior
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I will have a few more games later in the day. But here is another play without writeup since i dont have the time right now, but this pick is pretty obvious and every TOM, DICKHEAD and HARRY is on this pick.

6. Toronto -1.5 runs with Halladay
 

Rx. Senior
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Day would have been great if Minnesota could have won today!
 

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