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Atlanta +110
NY Mets

Why Atlanta

Well, in order to make up the first half deficit, the Braves will need Hudson (6-8, 4.56 ERA) to turn around his season in a hurry. The righthander went 0-4 with a 6.99 ERA in his last five starts, surrendering at least four runs in each of those outings. I believe Hudson brings his A game today and gives the Braves some momentum going into the second half.

Hudson will take on a Padres team that closed out the first half with five straight victories. They lead the Los Angeles Dodgers by two games for first place in the NL West. However, San Diego will give the ball to Chris Young (8-4, 3.12), who has gone 5-1 with a 2.18 ERA in his last eight starts. He allowed two runs in six innings Saturday, notching the victory in a 5-2 triumph at Washington.

Young endured his worst start of the year on May 24, when the Braves rocked him for season highs of six runs and eight hits in only three innings.

Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (ATLANTA) - hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games, in July games.
(39-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.1%, +32.1 units. Rating = 4*)

SAN DIEGO is 3-13 (-16.5 Units) against the money line in home games vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.6, OPPONENT 6.0 - (Rating = 4*)

SAN DIEGO is 12-19 (-14.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.7, OPPONENT 5.2 - (Rating = 2*)

Why Mets

Maddux (7-9, 4.89 ERA) has a chance to post his first victory since June 9. The future Hall of Famer opened the season with five straight wins but is just 2-8 with a 6.43 ERA. My thoughts he is not turning it around today!

New York will give the ball Friday to veteran Steve Trachsel (8-4, 4.67), who won his last six starts of the first half. The former Cubs righthander has not lost since May 17 and has allowed more than four earned runs only once in nine starts during that stretch.

Trachsel is just 1-3 with a 6.20 ERA in four lifetime games against the Cubs, but has not faced them since 2003.

Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor NL offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games.
(37-13 since 1997.) (74%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)

CHICAGO CUBS are 0-9 (-11.9 Units) against the money line in home games with a hot bullpen whose ERA is under 2.00 the last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 2.1, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 4*)<!-- / message --><!-- sig -->__________________
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