MOFOME plays day 30 (116-97: +52.13 units)

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

after day 29:
write up plays: (50-41) +15.87
system plays: (23-16) +$6.10
Dog plays: (43-40) +30.16
-------------------------
(+52.13)

sp
wash tt o 4.5 -$1.05
pitt o 4.5 -$1.16
wash o 9.5 -$1.12

wp
ana -$1.77 (3 units)
det rl -$1.14
tor 0 8.5 +$1.00
fla -$.109

dog
col +$1.39
balt rl +$1.65
fla rl +$2.05

(line on ana is moving towards Tb as i post this, not that line movement means a lot in bases unless you are scalping)

something to keep in mind a bit, when the game total is 10 or more, typically, the rl is a safer bet b/c (obviously) there are likely to be more runs. just a way to give some value and stock in what the lines maker value a game to be and also manipulate that line a bit. and of course, the visitting team is always the safer rl bet.

thats all for now...

bol guys

:toast:

WizardofWins · Jul 15, 2006

Good Luck Today....I have a big play today on your ORIOLES

WoW................:toast:

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

WoW!, i see you are on the under tor/seattle....ump alert right there...one of us will win that one. im thinking of getting on minn but i hate that juice....might play the -1

bol to u

:toast:

kirkmuller · Jul 15, 2006

Nice to have you back mofome.

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

kirkmuller said:
Nice to have you back mofome.

thank u, kirk

:toast:

Vyrus858 · Jul 15, 2006

very nice card, played Balt big and Flor RL per your post...keep em coming, win or lose, you still always do a marvelous job capping these games and thanks for the RL input

WizardofWins · Jul 15, 2006

I hate to lay the juice too, but today I feel that Santana is the play. he is almost unhittable at home and the revnge factor is there as CC shut out the twins in the metrodome the end of May.....PLUS CC pitched a complete game 3 hit shutout last time out....I like to go against a pitcher after he does that, after the first complete game against the Twins he pitched only 6 innings and gave up 3 runs, if this happens which it should I think Santana can hold them to under 3 runs, I'm not a big runline guy, too many games end on 1 so I am going to bite the bullet and lay the $1.62

As far as the total goes, I have the under ump, I have the pitcher's, but what I don't have is confidence in my total selections, I have lost more than I won, I actually liked 3 today....Under 8 Fla/Hou....Over 8.5 Mil/Ariz....and the under in Toronto, but I only played the Toronto under, then I start to read a few threads and see that more than a few cappers are on it also, oh well, it is only 1 unit and I would trust you over me so if anyone reads this Go with MO

Good Luck to you Today...........:money8:

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

Vyrus858 said:
very nice card, played Balt big and Flor RL per your post...keep em coming, win or lose, you still always do a marvelous job capping these games and thanks for the RL input

certainly Vry, thank u for your post. there are sooo many different things to look at with baseball and that was just one that was on my mind, lol

bol bud

:toast:

randolph · Jul 15, 2006

Any special reason why the over in Toronto with a strong 'under' umpire behind the plate and Halladay on the mound?

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

pefbear said:
I hate to lay the juice too, but today I feel that Santana is the play. he is almost unhittable at home and the revnge factor is there as CC shut out the twins in the metrodome the end of May.....PLUS CC pitched a complete game 3 hit shutout last time out....I like to go against a pitcher after he does that, after the first complete game against the Twins he pitched only 6 innings and gave up 3 runs, if this happens which it should I think Santana can hold them to under 3 runs, I'm not a big runline guy, too many games end on 1 so I am going to bite the bullet and lay the $1.62

As far as the total goes, I have the under ump, I have the pitcher's, but what I don't have is confidence in my total selections, I have lost more than I won, I actually liked 3 today....Under 8 Fla/Hou....Over 8.5 Mil/Ariz....and the under in Toronto, but I only played the Toronto under, then I start to read a few threads and see that more than a few cappers are on it also, oh well, it is only 1 unit and I would trust you over me so if anyone reads this Go with MO

Good Luck to you Today...........:money8:

well i like your thinking on the totals certainly. I like unders in games that i think either pitcher could completely shut down the other and there seem to be a few games like that today. I dont like unders in games where pitchers pitch to contact like moyer, buehrle, glavine and some others, but those pitchers certainly have their share of low scoring games. statistics will show what percentage of batted balls are line drives, fly balls, or ground balls off each pitcher and then the percentage of those that fall on on average. line drives land for hits with the most frequency. Moyer gives up a mixed bag, 20.6% line drives, 37.9% ground balls and then 41.5% fly balls which is ok in his big park but may not be in tor...the good thing is only 9.1% of those fly balls go for Hrs which is a good percentage for a pitcher to have.
but the stats also show that moyer has been leaving a higher percentage of men on base which is obviously good for the under if he is pitching well with men on base.

ok well i dont want to bore yuo out of your mind....but you have sound reasoning and i simply do not like being vs you, but it happens and on the year we probably split about 50/50 i would think.
you are an excellent basesman and people here should certainly know that. i would trust you with my money as much as i do myself, no better no worse, just bases...

bol my friend

:toast:

guitarjosh · Jul 15, 2006

Are all these for 1 unit?

teazeman · Jul 15, 2006

guitarjosh said:
Are all these for 1 unit?

ana=3unit play when posted even after pitching change and line adjustment. Mo rarely post a 3 unit play so based on that i would say anaheim is one of the strongest plays he has posted here.

fivedoorsdown · Jul 15, 2006

good job this year so far.
oh by the way are you fading chop??

:103631605

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

randolph said:
Any special reason why the over in Toronto with a strong 'under' umpire behind the plate and Halladay on the mound?

shhhhhhh

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

fivedoorsdown said:
good job this year so far.
oh by the way are you fading chop??

thanks.

no, i dnot pay attention to what other people are doing when capping the games

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

Col has 6 hits to cinci's one and we cant get a lead

ucking:

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

(116-97: +52.13 units)

:money:

mofome · Jul 15, 2006

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=top><TD width=347>Sullivan lined out to third.</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=top><TD>Carroll lined out to third.</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=top><TD>Cook sacrificed to catcher, Quintanilla to third.</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=top><TD>Quintanilla stole second.</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=top><TD>Quintanilla singled softly to shallow left center.</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

man on 2nd with 0 outs and we sac bunt him over and then two line outs...

:nohead: :nohead: :nohead:

ClipJoint · Jul 16, 2006

Grand slam for Vladimir should ice the Angels game. Nice job.

Intruder · Jul 16, 2006

Clip Joint said:
Grand slam for Vladimir should ice the Angels game. Nice job.

yep congrats, I followed the play. Thanks

MOFOME plays day 30 (116-97: +52.13 units)

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