Five Tuesday Picks w/Explanations

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1-2 yesterday, 18-14 since Monday, July 17 (+7.92 units) using my new strategy.

Here is what I have going for Tuesday, July 25:

It's time to bet against the pathetic Phillies, who are 6-13 in their previous 19 home games. Arizona should be able to light up the scoreboard against Ryan Madson, who should be in the bullpen. The Diamondbacks, winners of six of nine on the road, counter with Miguel Batista, who is undefeated since June 20. By the way, why is Philadelphia favored?
Diamondbacks +100.

I think everyone has figured James Shields out. After starting 4-0, Shields has lost his previous four decisions, surrendering at least five earned runs in three of his last five starts. Ervin Santana, on the other hand, is 7-0 since the beginning of June. Los Angeles has outscored Tampa Bay 46-24 in seven meetings (6-1).
Angels -1½ -105. Best Bet.

Mike Mussina has been New York's best pitcher all season. In fact, the Yankees have won five of the previous six occasions in which Mussina has started. The only loss was against Roy Halladay. Texas' weak lineup won't pose much of a threat, and I don't think Adam Eaton will be able to contain New York's offense.
Yankees -1½ +100.

I posted this stat on this page a few days ago: Baltimore is 5-11 since the beginning of June when playing as a visitor in a non-Erik Bedard start. Furthermore, Mr. Anna Benson has lost his previous four decisions, and has a road ERA of 5.95. Kansas City is 7-2 when Mark Redman has made an appearance the past two months. And, the Royals are 21-25 at home, so taking them isn't exactly setting your money on fire.
Royals +100.

Lots of value with Detroit -115 in this spot. The Tigers have won five of six, while the Indians are 4-12 in their previous 16 contests. Cleveland hasn't had much luck against the Tigers either; Detroit is 8-3 against the Tribe this season. It also helps that the Tigers have won Kenny Rogers' last eight starts.
Tigers -115.

Good luck to everyone tonight. Four road teams... gulp?

Walt
 

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