Boxslayer's MLB Pick of the Day - Tuesday

7-5, +7.60, Streak: W1

3* St. Louis Cardinals -1 -121

Nice easy over yesterday by the 5th in the Tigers game. Heating up a bit here, as I have won 4 of the past 5, and the one loss in that stretch was a 5-3 blown save by Turnbow in the 9th. So, staying selective and feeling pretty confident.

Today I like the Cardinals to take care of business against the Rockies.

1) Cards will face an "easier" pitcher today. Cards were shut out yesterday 7-0 by the Rocks hot lefty Francis. Franics has been red hot lately, particularly has past 2 starts were he's 2-0 and got a sub 1.00 ERA. Today they'll face the right-handed Jennings. Jennings hasn't been pitching well lately, and he's mediocre at best overall anyway. Cards should have an easier time plating some runs today.

2) Cards will bounceback. Cards have been shut out 3 times this year, and they came back the next game to score a combined 19 runs. 6+ per game. If there is any stadium in baseball where you can't keep a team in an offensive rut for long, it's the one thats a mile high.

3) Cards go to their ace, who has had success against the Rockies. Well, who hasnt Carpenter had success against? But, teams love going to their ace to get them that critical bounceback win. Carpenter is 2-0, 0.83 career vs. Colorado, and he's been pitching well lately with a nice start last time out.

4) Cards have played well against the Rockies. They have won 5 of 7. Swept them once. Won 2 of 3. Now dropped the first game. Hardly a panic situation, and I look for them to continue their success tonight.


Good Luck

Congrats on yesterday's winner Box, as always love your analysis and love to tail your plays man. Let's make this a winning NIGHT!

thanks, D.

Push tonight. I didnt expect a 1-0 pitchers duel in Colorado, even with Carpenter on the mound.

Feels like a losing night, but I'll take my money back and be back again tomorrow.

haha damn, I think I have the worst luck ever.. everytime i tail someone I feel like it's me that sends their records plummetting :-/ Well, a losing day for me with the -1 1/2... I still can't believe that the game ended 1-0. *sigh* any tips on how to cope with this terrible streak I've been having lately?

Yeah, I got a tip. Jump off board with me before you screw us both!

hahahah, just kidding, of course.

I've lost too many times with the -1.5 this year, which is why I have been betting the -1 when the juice is high. I usually only lay it if I am betting a road team so they have a chance to extend their lead late in a game, where as the home team scores 1 in a tie game and its over.

Tonight it protected my bet.

Remember, if I am comfortable enough to lay runs with a team, you should be comfortable enough to bet them straight up. I do it to lessen the juice. Sometimes it helps, sometimes it hurts. But -1.5 always fawks me.

Advice for a nasty losing streak? Stay more selective. Don't force the issue.

Back tomorrow.