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L.A. Angels +1.21 over BOSTON
No doubt that Josh Beckett is capable of mowing down the Angels and beating anyone, however, at this price, with Jered Weaver on the hill, with the Angels posting the majors best record over the past 25 days, this intruder cannot be overlooked. They came in here last night and whipped the Red Sox 8-3 and now have sole possession of first place in the AL West. Weaver is 7-0 with a 1.15 ERA after allowing an eye-opening 26 hits in 47 frames, striking out 40 and walking 11. You’re not going to need any more information than that, thus, we’ll make this very short and very sweet. Play: L.A. Angels +1.21 (Risking 1.5 units).
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Detroit –1.03 over MINNESOTA
The Tigers are another team that can’t be overlooked as a pooch and all they did last night was come in here and beat the hottest team in the majors and one of the hottest pitchers. Now they’ll take a huge step down in class when they face Brad Radke. Radke has been getting it done with smoking mirrors the past few games and he has to be given credit, however, he still remains one of the most hittable pitchers in the game and the Tigers rarely let pitchers like Radke off the hook. Radke has allowed 159 its in 125 innings and the opposition is hitting .317 off him but he’s somehow managed to win five straight decisions. Thing is, he’s not that good, not even close and the Tigers have beaten him twice already this year, torching him to the tune of 19 hits and nine runs in 8.1 innings. Nate Robertson is consistent and reliable with an overall record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.70. On the road he’s 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA and he’ll usually pitch deep into games. The Twins were humbled last night and the Tigers just keep on proving that they’re for real. Play: Detroit –1.03 (Risking 1.55 units to win 1.5).
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Kansas City +2.22 over TEXAS
The Royals have been playing .500 ball for the better part of the past six weeks and because of that, prices like this cannot be ignored. Besides, who the hell is Kevin Millwood to warrant being close to a 2½-1 favorite over anyone? Millwood has surrendered 151 hits in 129 innings and remains an average pitcher in this league. Those long innings and hot days in Texas really start to take its toll on Rangers pitchers just like it’s been doing for years. Besides, the Rangers have dropped five in a row and they’re bats have gone cold, having scored three runs or less in four of their past six games. The Royals bats just keep pounding out hits and scoring runs. They won 11-3 last night and had 14 hits for the second game in a row. They had 13 hits in Tuesday’s 7-5 win and they also did a number on the Angels pitching last weekend in tow put of three games. Jorge De La Rosa makes his first start of the year after working 30 innings out of the pen. His numbers aren’t pretty but he’s still struck out 31 batters and he is a southpaw. Anyway, this has nothing to do with wagering on De La Rosa and everything to do with taking back a huge tag on an enthusiastic Royals squad against a lethargic Ranger club with a very average pitcher on the hill. Big overlay. Play: Kansas City +2.22 (Risking 1.5 units).
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PITTSBURGH +1.03 over San Francisco
Let’s see now; The Giants are reeling with five losses in a row and can’t see the ball when they get men on base. The Pirates are the Giants daddy, as they continue to beat up on this intruder no matter where they play. Than we have Jamie Wright on the hill for San Fran and the fact that he’s road chalk is ludicrous. The right-hander is 1-5 with a 6.33 ERA in his last 10 starts, and has not won on the road since May 16. We’ve maintained all year that this Pirates team is full of talent but has under-achieved all year. However, they’re on a bit of a roll right now with three wins in a row and fed off a sell-out crowd last night and will very likely do the same tonight. We also like the Pirates Tom Gorzelanny, despite poor numbers. He was much sharper in is last start against the Fish and there’s denying he has major-league stuff. We expect the Pirates to score a bunch tonight and we truly expect to cash this ticket. Wrong side favored. Play: Pittsburgh +1.03 (Risking 1.5 units).
 

head turd in the outhouse
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nice analysis as usual!!! i like the card and think it's +$$$$ today.
 

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Nice picks...tough loss on the Angels game. Two others need to close the 9th inning for a break even card (minimum). If KC (tied 2-2 in 5th) can pull it out, that's a very nice day indeed.
 

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shoulda went 4-0 but I'll take a 3-1 day with the Royals winning and than I'll kick myself in the ass for not playing the Rays @ +2.30
 

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sherwood said:
L.A. Angels +1.21 over BOSTON
No doubt that Josh Beckett is capable of mowing down the Angels and beating anyone, however, at this price, with Jered Weaver on the hill, with the Angels posting the majors best record over the past 25 days, this intruder cannot be overlooked. They came in here last night and whipped the Red Sox 8-3 and now have sole possession of first place in the AL West. Weaver is 7-0 with a 1.15 ERA after allowing an eye-opening 26 hits in 47 frames, striking out 40 and walking 11. You’re not going to need any more information than that, thus, we’ll make this very short and very sweet. Play: L.A. Angels +1.21 (Risking 1.5 units).
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Detroit –1.03 over MINNESOTA
The Tigers are another team that can’t be overlooked as a pooch and all they did last night was come in here and beat the hottest team in the majors and one of the hottest pitchers. Now they’ll take a huge step down in class when they face Brad Radke. Radke has been getting it done with smoking mirrors the past few games and he has to be given credit, however, he still remains one of the most hittable pitchers in the game and the Tigers rarely let pitchers like Radke off the hook. Radke has allowed 159 its in 125 innings and the opposition is hitting .317 off him but he’s somehow managed to win five straight decisions. Thing is, he’s not that good, not even close and the Tigers have beaten him twice already this year, torching him to the tune of 19 hits and nine runs in 8.1 innings. Nate Robertson is consistent and reliable with an overall record of 9-6 and an ERA of 3.70. On the road he’s 4-2 with a 3.43 ERA and he’ll usually pitch deep into games. The Twins were humbled last night and the Tigers just keep on proving that they’re for real. Play: Detroit –1.03 (Risking 1.55 units to win 1.5).
<o:p></o:p>
Kansas City +2.22 over TEXAS
The Royals have been playing .500 ball for the better part of the past six weeks and because of that, prices like this cannot be ignored. Besides, who the hell is Kevin Millwood to warrant being close to a 2½-1 favorite over anyone? Millwood has surrendered 151 hits in 129 innings and remains an average pitcher in this league. Those long innings and hot days in Texas really start to take its toll on Rangers pitchers just like it’s been doing for years. Besides, the Rangers have dropped five in a row and they’re bats have gone cold, having scored three runs or less in four of their past six games. The Royals bats just keep pounding out hits and scoring runs. They won 11-3 last night and had 14 hits for the second game in a row. They had 13 hits in Tuesday’s 7-5 win and they also did a number on the Angels pitching last weekend in tow put of three games. Jorge De La Rosa makes his first start of the year after working 30 innings out of the pen. His numbers aren’t pretty but he’s still struck out 31 batters and he is a southpaw. Anyway, this has nothing to do with wagering on De La Rosa and everything to do with taking back a huge tag on an enthusiastic Royals squad against a lethargic Ranger club with a very average pitcher on the hill. Big overlay. Play: Kansas City +2.22 (Risking 1.5 units).
<o:p></o:p>
PITTSBURGH +1.03 over San Francisco
Let’s see now; The Giants are reeling with five losses in a row and can’t see the ball when they get men on base. The Pirates are the Giants daddy, as they continue to beat up on this intruder no matter where they play. Than we have Jamie Wright on the hill for San Fran and the fact that he’s road chalk is ludicrous. The right-hander is 1-5 with a 6.33 ERA in his last 10 starts, and has not won on the road since May 16. We’ve maintained all year that this Pirates team is full of talent but has under-achieved all year. However, they’re on a bit of a roll right now with three wins in a row and fed off a sell-out crowd last night and will very likely do the same tonight. We also like the Pirates Tom Gorzelanny, despite poor numbers. He was much sharper in is last start against the Fish and there’s denying he has major-league stuff. We expect the Pirates to score a bunch tonight and we truly expect to cash this ticket. Wrong side favored. Play: Pittsburgh +1.03 (Risking 1.5 units).
1 stinker out of the bunch not bad
 

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