Prodigal Son Day 7

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

LAA +130 ML 1 unit flat bet(mansión, betmania)

TEX -2½ +125(cris) ...conditional / hedge(ML!) bet only...

If win LAA, pull back 1 unit AND $30 profit, 1 unit goes on nightcap.

IF lose frst game, NO bet on nightcap!

IF we need to hedge LAA halfime, we'll hook it "instead" to Tex ML -210(olympic)

BOL

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

2nd half hedge:

red sox -140 ½ unit, we will roll over into night cap if necessary.

passingthewind · Jul 29, 2006

Good Luck!

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

passingthewind said:
Good Luck!

thank you, ptw...as well to you. :103631605

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

We had a little bad luck re our hedge here(we do have guaranteed profit-- 80% of a unit though)...situation:

middle of 5th: LAA leads 3-1...2nd half line comes out O/U 3.5(later went to 4 btw) The play'd be the over, as that also can "middle"...irrespective of what one thinks the game willl turn out like, this guarantees a nice profit(Boston would have to hold Angels scoreless the rest of the way AND score ONLY 3 runs to middle both bets out, very unlikely). However, though the line gets put up early, the bottom of the 5th does NOT count for it-- should the Red Sox score anything at all, that would leave one with the possibility of getting "middled OUT" of both bets...
We had the bet ready, but decided to watch first Bosox batter for an inkling to Weaver's form...waiting for the first out.....& sure enough, they rallied right away & tied it up at 3...necessitating the sucky odds reverse bet w/ ZERO middling chance.

So, we book the almost-unit profit & PASS nightcap on the very underlayed Texas odds.

See ya tomorrow.

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

Hold off celebration: Sox tied it up again-- we would then roll our hedge into nightcap: Tex -2.5

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

Don't know why they insist on pitching to Ortiz....he's burned them twice today...earlier they had a base open & decided to pitch to him also, with negative results as well.

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

and still again they refuse to walk him....numbnuts.

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

ok, the ½ unit hedged should stand now @ .86...let's roll it into Tex -1½ +120...should result in a few dollars over break even for the day. BTW the -2½ would not leave that much more profit..ergo little value vs risk.

bol

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

2nd half:

1½ units o4 even
1 unit KC +235

charleslanger · Jul 29, 2006

Okie dokie:

lost early hedge, but of the two later hedges to the hedge, one hit & one pushed--

Up for the day .85 unit....one more run by either team would've added another 1½ units profit.

We'll take that: lost our two released games, yet finished almost one unit up for the day...with a chance at almost 2½ units profit.

Speaking of:

we're changing our system with bases some-- we're adding Matchbook & Tradesports: both live in-game betting to our repertoire & dropping conventional betting & parlaying for the most part. We will still release games as usual, but we will quickly lock a profit live in-game...as early as the first inning if the opp presents itself. Then we will parlay manually our net into next game, and so forth... What that accomplishes is not only safer profits, but allows games as little-time apart as ½ hour to become a separate time zone for manual parlay or progression purposes.....as many as a handful or more daily....
That is much safer & quicker than making locked-in/entire amount parlays & then maybe being able to hedge some at halftime, and avoids manual parlay pitfalls of early time zones running late & precluding rollover.

See you tomorrow.