Based on what was written with your analysis the other day, just at a glance with one game would you say a play would be on the Braves since it opened around 160 and is already down to -145? Just want to see if I am catching on.....the public is on the pirates. I know it is still early but if this were a closing number closer to game time.
passingthewind said:
yes this would be one indeed. I haven't paid attention to the lines yet today. I did just notice an Atlanta RL for +115 at trojan that move 10% off opener and bet it. But yes this is getting steammed like crazy and the value is there or getting very close to it.
This is where you have to be careful I advise you too wait on Atlanta (I have opener closer to -150 so I am waiting for -135, which maybe out there I haven't looked very hard)
This is where I get lost................
I have the majority on ATLANTA............77% with this line moving down.
That doesn't seem right - even though it fits this "system". And it is the same thing that happened with the LAA line last night...........with the large majority on LA, the line went from -140 to -125..............in essense making the line more tempting to the public. But the public was already tempted enough to bet the line at 140..............so why lower it???
Now we have the public team that has been playing HOT, and they have their line being made even more tempting????
Was up?????
I have the majority on ATLANTA............77% with this line moving down.
That doesn't seem right - even though it fits this "system". And it is the same thing that happened with the LAA line last night...........with the large majority on LA, the line went from -140 to -125..............in essense making the line more tempting to the public. But the public was already tempted enough to bet the line at 140..............so why lower it???
Now we have the public team that has been playing HOT, and they have their line being made even more tempting????
Was up?????
BIG Wave said:This is where I get lost................
I have the majority on ATLANTA............77% with this line moving down.
That doesn't seem right - even though it fits this "system". And it is the same thing that happened with the LAA line last night...........with the large majority on LA, the line went from -140 to -125..............in essense making the line more tempting to the public. But the public was already tempted enough to bet the line at 140..............so why lower it???
Now we have the public team that has been playing HOT, and they have their line being made even more tempting????
Was up?????
I was thinking the same thing...regardless...I still think ATL and Smoltz are a damn good value with these numbers...what WTF is going on...????
