Not even close. I don't have exact numbers, but I did go over the AL East a few days ago. There were 17 3 game losing streaks. There were 12 losing streaks of 4 or more games. Meaning, if you bet on those teams to lose that 4th game, you would have gone 12-17. I didn't crunch the lines in the games, but many times you're betting on a losing streak to continue, you're going to lay juice. Sometimes alot of it.
There are exceptions. The Cards are on a 5 game losing streak and paid the dogs back nicely in their 4th and 5th losses, roughly +140, and +111.
All of baseball will come close to mirroring these numbers.
There are exceptions. The Cards are on a 5 game losing streak and paid the dogs back nicely in their 4th and 5th losses, roughly +140, and +111.
All of baseball will come close to mirroring these numbers.
SA. I probably didn't explain it clearly. it even confuses me. Let me try it this way:
29 times a team in the AL East was sitting on a 3 game losing streak. 17 times they won the next game, thus no more losing streak. 12 times they lost the 4th game. (There were 9 four game losing streaks and one each of 5, 6 , and 7 games)
SO, a player would have gone 12-17 if he played a team to lose their 4th game in a row.
Does that make more sense?
29 times a team in the AL East was sitting on a 3 game losing streak. 17 times they won the next game, thus no more losing streak. 12 times they lost the 4th game. (There were 9 four game losing streaks and one each of 5, 6 , and 7 games)
SO, a player would have gone 12-17 if he played a team to lose their 4th game in a row.
Does that make more sense?
JP, you're killing me, but I'll check that out.
Here are some interesting numbers from the AL East.
If you were to bet AGAINST a team on a 5 game winning streak, you would have gone 7-1. I'm guessing probably earning 10+ units on a 1 unit bet.
If you were to bet ON a team on a 4 game losing streak, you would have gone 9-3, probably earning about 4 or 5 units. 16-4, and +14+ units wouldn't be so bad for zero time invested in capping.
Here are some interesting numbers from the AL East.
If you were to bet AGAINST a team on a 5 game winning streak, you would have gone 7-1. I'm guessing probably earning 10+ units on a 1 unit bet.
If you were to bet ON a team on a 4 game losing streak, you would have gone 9-3, probably earning about 4 or 5 units. 16-4, and +14+ units wouldn't be so bad for zero time invested in capping.
JP,
You might be on to something with that one. Here's how the AL would breakdown this year based on betting against a team that was just swept in a road series and playing in another road game.
After playing a:
2 game series 2-0, +2 units
3 game series 8-5, +1.56 units
4 game series 1-0 + 1 unit
This includes the raer occurances where a team gets swept on the road, stays on the road and gets swept, and plays a third series on the road. You can have two plays on that road trip.
You might be on to something with that one. Here's how the AL would breakdown this year based on betting against a team that was just swept in a road series and playing in another road game.
After playing a:
2 game series 2-0, +2 units
3 game series 8-5, +1.56 units
4 game series 1-0 + 1 unit
This includes the raer occurances where a team gets swept on the road, stays on the road and gets swept, and plays a third series on the road. You can have two plays on that road trip.
