-Newman- Wednesday MLB Picks ... With First Attempt At Write-Up(s)

-Newman- · Aug 2, 2006

Updating record first, as always ...

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August 1, 2006 MLB Results
Picks : 1-1 (-.12 Units)
Parlays : 0-3 (-3.00 Units)
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Year To Date "Picks" : 104-120-6 (-32.695 Units)
Year To Date "Parlays" : 12-44 (-15.79 Units)

---------- "Picks" Breakdown ----------

Versus Moneyline : 46-46 (-3.035 Units)
Versus Spread : 13-23 (-15.96 Units)
Game Over / Under : 26-35-4 (-13.77 Units)
Team Total : 18-15-2 (+0.07 Units)
Props : 1-1 (+0.00 Units)

---------- "Units" Breakdown ----------

1 Unit Plays : 67-85-5 (-26.455 Units)
2 Unit Plays : 37-35-1 (-6.24 Units)
3 Unit Plays : 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
4 Unit Plays : 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
5 Unit Plays : 0-0 (+0.00 Units)

---------- "Plays" Breakdown ----------

Picks 0-100 : 36-59-5 (-32.395 Units)
Picks 101-200: 56-44-0 (+10.42 Units)
Picks 201-300: 12-17-1 (-10.72 Units)

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Picks ( and halfway attempt at write-ups) Will Come Shortly.

-Newman- · Aug 2, 2006

Washington / San Francisco

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August 2, 2006 MLB Picks
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Washington Nationals @ San Francisco Giants
Washington : Team Total Over 4 (+108) ... 2.00 Unit / 2.16 Unit
Game Total Over 8.5 (-118) ... 1.18 Unit / 1.00 Unit

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Post All-Star, Jason Schmidt has been struggling. In his last 3 games, he's 1-2 with a 6.00 ERA and a 1.78 WHIP, averaging 6 innings per outing. The opponents he has faced were Milwaukee, San Diego, and Pittsburgh, all whom rank near the bottom in scoring in the MLB. In fact, for the last 3 months, he's been on a decline. In May, he started 6 games, going 4-0 with a 1.17 ERA, averaging 7.66 IP. In June, he started 5 games, going 1-1 with a 2.80 ERA, averaging 7 IP. In July, he started 5 games, going 1-4 with a 4.97 ERA, averaging 5.8 IP. San Francisco's bullpen hasn't exaclty been stars either, combining for a 1.52 WHIP and a 3.91 ERA for the year.

Washington, on the other hand, has been on a mild tear. They have won 8 of their last 11 games and since the All-Star Break, have failed to score 4 or more runs in only 1 game out of 17. With San Francisco losing their last 9 games in a row, Washington at +156 might hold some long-term value.

Umpiring today is Rob Drake, who has averaged 11.33 Runs for the year with a Over / Under record of 11-6. Add a 9 mph wind out to dead-center for the forecast at AT&T Park, and all signs are seeming to point for Washington at least scoring 4 runs. With plus value, I don't see any disadvantages. Even given the fact that San Francisco's bats have been weak and with Bonds possibly out of the line-up, the game total over 8.5 looks decent, as Tony Armas's 4.79 ERA isn't that great either and Rob Drake being behind the plate.

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There ... Basically, my first write-up on a game. Don't know if it will help anyone (if anyone is even looking in this thread), but oh well.

As Minnesota / Texas doesn't have a line yet, there's my early day picks so far. More picks might come later, but this it for now.

Good luck to all on today !!!

-Newman- · Aug 2, 2006

Adding A Unit To That Washington / San Francisco Game Total.

Game Total Over 8.5 (-118) ... 2.36 Unit / 2.00 Unit

-Newman- · Aug 2, 2006

Washington Team Total Now At 3.5 (-114) at Pinnacle.

But, as stated, I'm confident with the 4 and + juice, so not doing any extra buying yet. And as a rookie at this, what does that mean exactly when the book went down .5 point with added juice? I'm pretty sure I know, but just asking.

Does anyone have any extra input on this game ?

And for the more experienced, am I at least looking at the right aspects of the game when capping?

-Newman- · Aug 2, 2006

Well, Jason Schmidt did only go 6 Innings, but he pitched a very strong 6 innings. Thank god the bullpen had to go 3 innings, I guess. Not 100% how I capped it, but good enough.

:money:

Addict101 · Aug 2, 2006

Nice cash in man!

mofome · Aug 3, 2006

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 id=head vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="25%">Final 10th</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">1</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">2</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">3</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">4</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">5</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">6</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">7</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">8</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">9</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">10</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">R</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">H</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="5%">E</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 id=final vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=name align=left>Chi. White Sox «</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>3</TD><TD class=finalscore align=middle>7</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>14</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD></TR><TR class=bg2 id=final vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=name align=left>Kansas City</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>2</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>2</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>0</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1</TD><TD class=finalscore align=middle>5</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>8</TD><TD class=scorerow align=middle>1</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE id=alerts1101117 cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=scoresrow><TD><TABLE class=scoresrow cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD id=plays1101117 vAlign=top>W: D. Riske (1-2) L: A. Burgos (2-4)
S: B. Jenks (29)
HR: CHW - J. Crede (23) KC - R. Sanders (10), A. Berroa (7)</TD><TD id=situation1101117 < td></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=scoresrow><TD><TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=bottom><TD id=links1101117 noWrap>Recap/Box</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

does that look like the KC first 5 innings lost last night?

:howdy: