Like I did in another thread, I'll just do here.
I had some analysis of this game in my thread of today's picks. I'll just copy and paste below. Although, I see the juice is up to -119 and the Florida Team Total is now at 3.5.
New York Mets @ Florida Marlins
Game Total Over 8 (+102) ... 1.00 Unit / 1.02 Unit
Florida : Team Total Over 3 (-113) ... 3.39 Unit / 3.00 Unit
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Just a few things to talk about in this game which features Pedro Martinez, sporting a 3.59 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP, and Dontrelle Willis, sporting a 4.27 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP.
First, a thing that caught my eye was the home / away stats from these 2 pitchers. Pedro enters today's game, allowing 4.87 runs per game in 10 away games, going 7-2-1 against the O/U. Dontrelle enters today's game, allowing 6.60 runs per game in 10 home games, going 8-2 against the O/U.
New York as a team, enters today's game averaging 5.26 runs per game and 61-41 versus the O/U. On the road, they average 5.85 runs per game, going 35-19 versus the O/U. New York is currently 5-0 versus the O/U in their last 5 games, as well as 8-1 during their last 9 games, averaging 6.22 runs per game during that stretch.
Florida as a team, enters today's game averaging 4.65 runs per game and 61-44 versus the O/U. At home, they average 4.37 runs per game, going 29-21 versus the O/U. Florida is currently 6-0 versus the O/U in their last 6 games, averaging 6 runs per game during that stretch. And as far as the Team Total over 3 play ... Since the All-Star Break, Florida has failed to score 3 or more runs only 5 times out of 21 (24%) games. In fact, of their 107 regular season games, they have failed to score 3 or more times in 25 (23%) of those games. New York, on the other hand has allowed their opponent to score 3 or more times in 79 of their 106 regular season games (79%). So, in the end, Florida has scored 3 or more in 77% of their regular season games and New York has alllowed their opponents to score 3 or more in 79% of their games.
Umpiring in today's matchup is Mr. Reilly. Reilly is only 11-10 versus the O/U this year; however, he is averaging 5.48 walks and 9.65 runs per game. Last year, he was 21-16 versus the O/U, averaging 6.45 walks and 10.61 runs per game.
