PixWinns said:
The name of the game is value. Winners and losers do matter, but it's really a matter of getting the best price for your prediction. If you can do this, you can win picking less than 50%. My horse matchups as testimony.
For 1 unit to represent 20% of your BR though is suspect.
da1prophet said:
It's something that is hard to do. If you think I line should be +120 and it's +200, you really should pounce on it, but often times people will only make a small play. Have confidence in the number you make and bet out when the variance is high. It's something that's always fun come CBB totals time as the lines can be very volatile.
Labeeb said:
Agreed...its very tough at first to have the confidence to pull the trigger with a bad team at a good price but it pays in the long run. Pointspreads work the same way--if "my" line on game is -3, for example, and the posted line is way off of that the first reaction is to think that you must be wrong about something. I guess the confidence in your own numbers comes with experience.
I will say that the people I know who have made the most money betting on sports are completely value driven. They'd bet against their own mother if they got a good price...
Labeeb said:
Scenic Columbia, SC for now...I lived in Charleston for a number of years before I got divorced. I started driving west and this is the first town I hit ; )
Seriously, I have some roots here that caused me to settle in Columbia for the time being--I went to the University of SC and my parents live here....
And I know its hot in a lot of the US right now, but MAN, is it hot here in the SC midlands. I have two Jack Russell Terriers and it usually takes two walks a day to tire them out. They got one quick walk tonight just after midnight--with the temp still at 86 degrees with a thousand percent humidity--and they're exhausted.
Labeeb said:
Yeah, its not exactly the garden spot of the state ; )
Despite the fact that I have a degree from USC and live in the shadow of Williams-Brice Stadium I don't have much loyalty to the school's sports teams. Maybe its the fact that I grew up in Utah, so I'm a "transplanted" southerner, or maybe I've been betting on sports so long that I've learned to not care unless I have a bet on the Gamecocks. I had no qualms about taking Clemson over USC last year, that's for sure...
