-Newman- Monday MLB

-Newman- · Aug 7, 2006

As Usual, Just Updating The Ol' Record First ...

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August 6, 2006 MLB Results
Picks : 4-3 (+1.36 Units)
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Year To Date "Picks" : 114-128-6 (-30.355 Units)

---------- "Picks" Breakdown ----------

Versus Moneyline : 47-46 (+.085 Units)
Versus Spread : 17-26 (-17.96 Units)
Over / Under : 28-39-4 (-17.21 Units)
Team Total : 21-16-2 (+4.73 Units)
Props : 1-1 (+0.00 Units)

---------- "Units" Breakdown ----------

1 Unit Plays : 70-88-5 (-27.255 Units)
2 Unit Plays : 43-40-1 (-6.10 Units)
3 Unit Plays : 1-0 (+3.00 Units)
4 Unit Plays : 0-0 (+0.00 Units)
5 Unit Plays : 0-0 (+0.00 Units)

---------- "Plays" Breakdown ----------

Picks 0-100 : 36-59-5 (-32.395 Units)
Picks 101-200: 56-44-0 (+10.42 Units)
Picks 201-300: 22-25-1 (-8.38 Units)

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If there are any picks, they'll be coming later ...

Best of luck to everyone on their card today !!!

-Newman- · Aug 7, 2006

Baltimore Orioles @ Toronto Blue Jays

Baltimore

@

Toronto

First 5 Innings : Toronto -.5 (-132) ... 2.64 Unit / 2.00 Unit

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Really not much to say on this play. I'm basically just playing against Russ Ortiz, which has shown to be a safe bet all season. Ortiz comes into Toronto today showing no signs of improving anytime soon. Ortiz has 10 starts so far this year, going 0-7 while sporting a 9.61 ERA and a crazy 2.27 WHIP in those "starts". And to pour some more "salt in the wound", his road woes reflect even worse numbers. In 5 games on the road, he is 1-4, sporting a 11.65 ERA and a 2.65 WHIP. His last outing against Tampa Bay (who ranks #28 in runs scored), he allowed 5 hits and 6 earned runs, without even recording a out.

In his 10 starts this year, Ortiz is only averaging 3.52 innings per outing, so I don't expect him to go the entire 5 innings that I bet against him. However, the 4 or 5 runs he'll allow before his early departure should be good enough for Toronto to at least hold the lead, as Baltimore comes into today's game averaging only 2.6 runs per game during their last 5 games. Add Lilly into the mix, who's pitching well at home (7-5, 3.38 ERA, 1.40 WHIP), and this should be a good bet.

Prediction After 5 Innings
Toronto 4 - Baltimore 2