A few baseball thoughts from basesman

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to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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"on the road" is not a place.
when you say a guy is this and that on the road, it means far less than you think. "away from home" could be a thought, but each place you play is much different and a pitcher pitches at each different stadium so infrequently that it doesnt matter as much as most care to think. Especially dont worry about this when you are talking about a vet pitcher. Good Pichers know how to get people out, poor ones struggle. playing at oakland and playing at Baltimore are very different but many of the capper would call it "on the road". wipe that from your thinking.


systems are used for matchups, in game matchups
dont play a system b/c its the 3rd dog in a row on a wednesday. dont play a system b/c line movement in says to play it. baseball is a game of matchups...one on one. there isnt a team calling plays and its not 5 on 5 or 11 on 11 each play. not capping the pitcher is ridiculous and can not be justified. U have to take into consideration the person that has the ball 40$ of the game and will be limitting ot enhancing the other teams ability to hit it and how hard. you base a system on the in game matchups to try and decrease risk of loss, dont go by a system that detemines your play without looking or knowing who is pitching and playing.


They stink vs lefties.
everyone stinks vs lefties b/c lefties have to be better pitchers and lefties are seen less often. going against mostly right handed bats you have to be more talented and you are seen less often which is tougher on most everyone. hell casey fossum is tough to hit this year...but sometimes he walks a lot of people. Left handed pitchers pitch more often to righties than lefties, left handed pitchers are seen less by righties than right handed pitchers...all factors work for the elfties to be successful and most teams to "stink vs lefties". but you have to look at who the lefty is...is the lefty liriano? well if they just played the twins, Os, and TB you are likely to find a team that sucks ve lefties, thats just how it is. even the kid jeremey sowers is giving people trouble and he doesnt feature +++ stuff. Dont tell me a team sucks vs lefties...tell me who they got beat by and then who they are playing. kenny rogers and John Santana are both lefties but you better not cap a game generalizing the two and play for kenny rogers b/c santana/bedard/and Kazmir lit up some team and now they are vs a lefty in rogers...na ah, bases dont work like that.


stop generalizing, its not capping, its just talking and trying to make a play fit


bol today and for the rest of the month
 

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Thanks for the write up and I agree totally that you must really be careful when putting games into systems. I PLAYED and do not know of anf SYSTEM that works when the truth is a pitchers weakness vs the hitters weakness! Most hitters are taught young to hit left handed because they will face less left handed pitchers early on and likely better off to put up better numbers which gets them noticed.There is less info on tendacies due to less at bats against lefty's. I saw the Sowers kid pitch a month ago in AAA and even told teaseman he could be good. Well he throws 19 scoreless innings after getting over being scared to begin with. Once they get reports around the league on him adjustments will happen and then we will see. Best of Luck as good money can still be made for the rest of this year!!!
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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np and thanks. there is plenty of money to be made. i have some systems that work but they are predicated on the matchups. sowers is a kid i liked coming into the season but he was not the first option for the indians they showed...dont know why. a lot of people like raw stuff over the better pitcher when the kid are young
 

Morale Booster
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Nice post. You're a wealth of knowledge when it comes to baseball. Keep up the good work my friend.
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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thanks, there is a lot to this game and i find capping to to be interesting and every once in a while i will type up some stuff that i hope can help for a game or just with capping baseball in general.
 

head turd in the outhouse
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nice post mo, heelman was correct with the sowers kid as his first major league start was shaky but pretty sporty the last few trips, these post in this thread are the kind most guys "skim" by without gaining knowledge on the capping aspect, everyone wants a winner handed to them but most don't care to learn the details of how the play was made. we can all gain valuable information by digesting it when it's posted.
 

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I Love this game and I like to capp the pitching mis-match as well and sometimes it goes bad but often it goes OK. I enjoy looking at a few other opinions, yours being one as you do have knowledge which I respect and add that to my plays. I am home all day and do this for a LIVING so I really stay on top fo things, but I also have a few bad days as well but THANKFULLY more BETTER days than bad! I am best friends with Tease and I can speak for myself and him when I say thanks for your work!!!!!!!!!
 

head turd in the outhouse
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heelman said:
THANKFULLY more BETTER days than bad!


not wanting to turn this into a gay thread but that is a huge understatement, if i could get them a little quicker instead of the guys that only put a half on them that would make me even happier.
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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well i dont cap each day, to be honest. i know a lot of things and i look a bit but i can be lazy as hell some days. i just dont keep the motivation strong most of the time and ive been +100 units every year ive done this...ive sat and wrote a lot no the game this year and if you ever want to talk it would be my pleasure. i have some systems that dont lose and some things i do...my regular plays have netted me the 100 units each year and then the system plays make my other plays look/seem amaturish.
there arent many here that know much, im guessing you are one that does. i give respect to thsoe that ask questions and then people that i know do well and there are a few here and a guy or two i know elsewhere.
 

antigravity
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i saw your post on EOG directed to WoW. I'll do a head2head with you if your interested.
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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smartz said:
i saw your post on EOG directed to WoW. I'll do a head2head with you if your interested.


are you any good?

:suomi:
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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ok....well if you like.


just post your card each day and i will mine. should be fun. WoW is a friend and someone i enjoy talking with so it would be fun, i know he doesnt enjoy august but im bored with the season a bit..its so long. but i do want to stay motivated to help out.
we could put a little something on it if you wish....i will just trust u b/c im not real interested in someone holding. i really could care less, if you think you are better, i will play.

ive had a month over 80 units tracked..


:suomi:

i very much respect this record you have posted. you can determine the wagering limit as far as units. 1-2 would be idea for me, but im not much for caring about little things.


lets start a new thread for this. have u seen a write up of mine by chance?
i look forward to your reply


bol friend
 

antigravity
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i usually do 1 3unit, 2-3 2units, and the rest 1's

And how big were your unit sizes on the 80 unit month?
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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MOFOME after 40 Days (+81.81) +YTD
<HR style="COLOR: #2b295e" SIZE=1>
<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->After 40 days:
------------------------------------
Writes up plays: (65-52) +$27.52
June System plays: (54-36) +$20.62
Dogs: (55-57) +$33.67
------------------------------------
+81.81

all 1 and 2 unit wagers there




-----------------
it was a 40 day period i tracked, but i get very bored tracking myself and i was a bit lazy with some of that. i would say i had 3 to 4% 3 unit plays in there at max.


just tracked starting june first for the next 40 days.


u can email me if you would like to discuss terms of any wager or what u like. you will likely be risking a good bit more than i per play, but thats fine, got to win to win


bol sr
 

antigravity
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do you have your AIM on? Itd be alot easier to communicate on that
my 82.18 units is on 59 days. but your record was very impressive
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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yours is one of the best i have seen, you risk more but with anything just 1-3 thats impressive. i have msn and my msn name is on my profile, just my email address.

and then aim is volsmet1

im not on there often but i will sign on
 

to tell the truth you dont amaze me
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gynecologist said:
Yes I can confirm this!!! Smartz is the best baseball capper in
the forum world!!! :103631605


soon to find out. gyno you dont know enough on the topic. but we will see soon


:toast:
 
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mofome said:
soon to find out. gyno you dont know enough on the topic. but we will see soon


:toast:

May the best man win. smartz will prove to be a very capable capper!!
Even if he doesn't win, he will do his thing!!!

GL to both of you...
 

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