Friday bases (+writeups)

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Aug 8, 2006
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Hey guys, how's it going?

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MLB 2006: 69 W 64 L +24.75 units
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Red Sox (Schilling) (1.61 @ Pinnacle) 6 units

Riding the streak here. I've been lurking from the corner and waiting the best time to start pounding the Red Sox, they do have formidable lineup problems, but they're still a top team and I believe the AL East title race isn't over yet (currently 5.5 games behind NYY).
Boston are winners of two straight and are travelling to Safeco Field to clash with the Mariners, my favourite team. Sadly, their recent streak has kicked them out of playoff contention, since their only chance was to take the AL West divisional title. Mariners are currently rock bottom of the division with 14 games behind Oakland.
Big Papi launched his league-leading 46th homer last night, Timlin and Papelbon connected to save the win (Papelbon's 34th save of the season).

Red Sox are going to rely on their ace "Bloody Sock" to take the W at Safeco. Curt Schilling (14-5, 3.84 ERA) has been a season-long consistency in Red Sox rotation, but is winless in last 3 starts. He is 1-0, 1.13 ERA against Seattle this season.

Mariners are just clueless at the moment, their bats, which have been their forte throughout the season, are completely cold for a while now, and I don't think southpaw Jake Woods (3-1, 3.88 ERA) will provide a necessary spark for them tonight. Woods was very impressive in his start against the Angels on Aug. 20, holding the Halos to one run on 5 hits in over 5 innings of work. In 74 pitches he threw, 52 were strikes, which would be very hard to repeat tonight against one of the most potent lineups in baseball lead by Ortiz and Manny Ramirez, who is expected to miss tonight's game due tendinitis. Manny had to undergo an MRI scan which showed there is no serious damage to the knee. There were some black thoughts about Manny's injury but Red Sox fans can exhale now, Manny will be back to rotation in no time.

Furthermore, there is a known factor of a team stepping up to fill in the shoes of their missing player, and that's exactly what some of those guys have been doing as Red Sox took 2 out of 3 against the Angels.
Big Papi's irregular heartbeat problems were nothing but a scare too, he is 100% fit and ready. With Jason Varitek being a week from return, and Boston finally playing some good defense, I think there's not much chance for Seattle to win tonight, not against Schilling on the mound at least.
6 units.


Chicago White Sox - Minnesota (over 9.5) (2.01 @ Pinnacle) 4 units

Not sure with these total plays any more, I'm in a bad run when it comes to totals lately, hence the lower stake than I wanted to put initially. However, this one should go over the projected margin, since both teams are in wake up mode when it comes to hitting. Actually, both teams look good overall at the moment, especially the Pale Hose, which are coming off a perfect game last night, beating the Tigers 10-0 behind Jon Garland. Tonight they'll send out Javier Vasquez (11-8, 5.13 ERA) who is 0-3, 7.71 ERA against the Twinkies this season, and 1-4, 6.87 ERA in his career.

He has usually inspired his team's bats to produce runs this season, tonight should be the case as well, especially since Vasquez will be looking for his first win over the Twins this season (and Radke) after losing twice (both times the game went OVER THE MARGIN(9.5) (Minnesota winning both encounters, 8-4 and 7-4 respectively).
Brad Radke (12-9, 4.35 ERA) is 2-2, 5.40 ERA against CWS this season, and 16-15, 4.66 ERA in his career. Minnesota pounded Baltimore 11-2 in their last game, which means their offense is starting to click again.
Justin Morneau is 7-for-17 when facing Vazquez, with four home runs, two doubles and seven RBIs. The over is 10-3 in the series this season.
4 units.


Athletics (Zito) (1.87 @ Pinnacle) 5 units

Backing the A's with their top man here. Barry Zito (13-8, 3.76 ERA) gets the nod for Oakland, and this price is rather tempting, knowing that Zito has a 9-2 record and 3.03 ERA in 14 road starts and 10-1 with a 4.00 ERA in 14 starts in Texas, despite having a 6.75 ERA against the Rangers this season and 16-4 with a 3.65 ERA in 28 starts against Texas in his career.
Against the Angels and Mariners, the Athletics boast an impressive 21-7 record; against the Rangers, however, Oakland is just 6-7. I see that evening out tonight. Over the seasons, Rangers at Ameriquest are never an easy task, but they're only 31-31 at their Arlington this season.
Also they're sending out Edinson Volquez (1-2, 4.02 ERA), who was questionable a few days earlier due to an injured thumb. Left-handed batters are hitting just .167 against Volquez this season. Swisher was 2-for-4, including a homer, against Volquez on Aug. 9. The first baseman leads the Athletics with a .346 (18-for-52) average against the Rangers this season.
The A's have won 21 of their last 27 games.
5 units.


All comments and feedback are welcome.
Good luck everyone.:toast:
 

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