Very Strong Play that goes off at 6:30 AM

Puckhandler · Aug 30, 2006

Available at Pinnacle only

Team Germany +7.5 4TH Quarter vs Team USA FIBA
630 AM et

Team USA has not covered 7.5 pts in any of the 4th quarters in this tournament. In most games they have built such large leads going into the fourth quarter that they would just go through the motions in the 4th quarter.

These are the following 4th quarter scores in the tournament for the Americans.

Puerto Rico 26 USA 24
China 28 USA 26
Slovenia 25 USA 23
USA 23 Italy 21
USA 22 Senegal 18
USA 25 Australia 24

The most likely scenario that I see in which Team USA would cover this 4th quarter spread is if Team Germany somehow manages to keep it close after three quarters and the Americans decide to turn it on. However, in the Italian game their lead was only 7 pts heading into the 4th q and yet they only won that 4th Q by 2 pts.

This is how I see this playing out. Team USA should have a 20 - 30pt lead after three Qs and they will coast for the final frame.

THis is a gift but it is by no means a L****k so please wager only what you can afford to lose.

I'm off to bed

ensign_lee · Aug 30, 2006

uh...what sport is this?

Puckhandler · Aug 30, 2006

World Basketball Championships

ensign_lee · Aug 30, 2006

and the scores are that low? Crazy.

But thanks for the pick and the write-up, puckhandler. I appreciate it. I think I'll ride this with you.

Kruser6 · Aug 30, 2006

ensign_lee said:
and the scores are that low? Crazy.

But thanks for the pick and the write-up, puckhandler. I appreciate it. I think I'll ride this with you.

Those are only 4th quarter scores that he listed.

ensign_lee · Aug 30, 2006

oh. I'm dumb...those are 4th quarter scores.

I was wracking my brain trying to figure out what sports had scores in teh 20's on both sides. hehe.

SkinsRaj28 · Aug 30, 2006

GL, I'll tail you on this one.

JakeT. · Aug 30, 2006

You are my hero puckhandler. I forgot that I was going to bet this 4th quarter bet altogether. I love it too and made sure to thank you when I posted it at some forums.

Appreciate it alot that you reminded me even if that wasn't your intention.

gynecologist · Aug 30, 2006

I followed you as well. Lets cash this one!!

freebie · Aug 30, 2006

so much tailing, the juice has gone up to -116 @pinny.

BTW, where can I find final scores to FIBA?

Journeyman · Aug 30, 2006

Thanks Guy!

Doug · Aug 30, 2006

In

Would something like USA be good in say Q2 also ?

JohnnyB · Aug 30, 2006

Hmmmm, intriguing... I'm in!

gynecologist · Aug 30, 2006

I am going to email this page to pinnacle to show them why they are getting
thousands of dollars on a 4th quarter bet all of a sudden..

zmac · Aug 30, 2006

Does anyone have a feel for the game line? Is 25.5 too much to give this Germany team?

bdgear · Aug 30, 2006

freebie said:
so much tailing, the juice has gone up to -116 @pinny.

BTW, where can I find final scores to FIBA?

www.fiba.com

MattRain · Aug 30, 2006

Late to the party, but I'm in too... save yourselves for the end, you deutsche Basketballspieler! :103631605

zmac · Aug 30, 2006

Alright, I made my play (pretty large) for this GER+7.5 bet, and i'm pumped! Thanks for bringing the play to my attention. I do have a small concern though. So far, Germany has been outscored by more than 8 points twice during fiba play. Once vs Angola when GER had the lead, and once VS Spain where GER was down by around 10 at the start of the 4th quarter. Spain shows better 4th quarter margins than the USA though, winning the 4th by 7 or more points 3 out of 5 times this season. Like the original poster stated, the best we can hope for is a very early/large lead by the USA, then a 4th quarter coast....BOL 2 ALL.....LETS GET THIS ONE!!!!!!!!!!!