Rolltideroll said:
6 game 6 point pleasers pay 300 to 1.Thats extremely hard to hit but it seems like if you did 300 pleasers over 3 or 4 years that you would hit it at least one time and break even.
I dont do them often but it seems like the best teams to take are teams that are 3 point underdogs and take 6 points off and now your 3 point dog has to win by 6.If a team is a field goal underdog then its not that big a stretch for them to win by a field goal.
I said that wrong...what I meant is take teams that are a 3 point underdog and take 6 points against that so now the team that was a 3 point underdog has to win by 3.If they are this close of a matchup then taking your 3 point dog,and making it now being a 3 favorite is not that far fetched.
I know if I only played 6 point pleasers/6 games that I could find teams that are a good switch from a 3 point dog to three point favorite.If the line is that close then it has a good chance of coming to the wire anyway.
I feel positive that if I did it 300 times I would win at least one but I dont have the $$ to lose 127 times before I hit the first one.
I do think the pleasers work well on lines where the line is between even and 3 points.I dont think it works well taking a team favored by 19 and doing a pleaser where they have to win by 25.