One I really like today, and why !

Doug · Sep 20, 2006

The last 4 innings of Houston/ Cincy over 3 -115

These are almost always lined at 3.5, sometimes 4, never seen a 3 before. The starters are likely to exit by the 6th inning or so. Houston is not a huge favorite, so decent chance there will be a bottom of the ninth.

Juice is not too high at -115. I'll take my chances with the bullpens. It may push, maybe luck out with extra innings as well.

It's going to take two or less runs in a minimum of 3.5 innings to lose this one. I think 4+ runs is much more likely than 2 or less.

CRIS

Doug · Sep 20, 2006

I also like first 5 over 3.5 -116 at Pinny

Interesting to note over 3.5, and over 3 is only over 6.5 for the game, but the full game lines are:

over 6.5 -169
over 7 -134

But the game could go over, while the halves go 1-1.

All games are like that, half a run less on the halves combined, than the full game.

Doug · Sep 21, 2006

both halves went over, for the cash.

Similar play for today.

1st 5 innings of Fla/ Mets over 3.5 -111 at Pinny.

If either starter Sanchez/Pedro is not in excellent form, could go over easily.

Defensive players probably won't kill themselves diving for balls, and running into walls since the game means nothing. Just need one big half inning out of 10.

I like last 4 over, and game over as well. It's over 7.5 +108, so more like over 7 with normal juice.

Pelikan · Sep 21, 2006

Nicely done, yesterday !

Who offers MLB 2nd halves ?
Can't find them at Pinny.

Doug · Sep 21, 2006

Basically CRIS makes the line.

CRIS/ DSI ( same place) has it, Trojan copies it exactly, Wagerweb copies it but adds juice.

Essentially no need to look beyond CRIS. I know of no others offering it, and CRIS re-opens it in the bottom of the fifth, others are pre-game only.

Doug · Sep 21, 2006

over 7 -124 ( Pinny) is the game line, a bit juicy, but a prime number. 3 runs from each team, and you can't lose the bet. I like first five innings over best.

Tulsa · Sep 21, 2006

Doug, I will ride along with you today on the 1st half OVER. Good luck and thanks.

Good job yesterday.

tulsa

Tulsa · Sep 21, 2006

arty:

arty:

Doug!! You da man....!

Thanks for the winner and good luck on any other plays you have.

tulsa

Pelikan · Sep 21, 2006

Good job, Doug !

Thanks !

Doug · Sep 22, 2006

I'm going for some dogs today in the last 4 innings:

Fla +120
Pitts +120
Az +100

These 3 are all on the road, and heavy dogs for the whole game.

I'm hoping they are all down two or more runs after five innings. Then we get a situation where these dogs should get 12 outs vs. 9 outs for the home team, and +money on them. They can still lose the game, while winning the late innings. 2-1 would be great,pushes are possible.

Doug · Sep 22, 2006

These can also be bet after 4.5 innings are played, lines re-open briefly, but prices are adjusted. If tied or dog winning price on dog gets better, but if dog losing price gets worse.