bdgear said:
Im think college. Dont bet much NFL, but tonights game is what brought this to my mind.
I took the Saints at +4 earlier, and now I see 4.5 and even 5 at some places. I can just see myself losing a 21 to 17 game.
Im still steaming from my Caralina loss yesterday up 17-0 in the 3rd only to win by 2. I had caralina -2.5.
I need to do more homework on finding the best number.
i agree with chop. obviously not as critical as 3 and 7, but i find it to be the next most critical number.
While more games may land on 10 i think more games set at 4 will land on 4 simply because those games tend to be closer games to begin with and play a little closer. Games set at 10 tend to be more 1 sided and seem to land near 10 less often.
Not sure if my last statement much sense to anyone else, but it did to me while i was writing it.
While more games may land on 10 i think more games set at 4 will land on 4 simply because those games tend to be closer games to begin with and play a little closer. Games set at 10 tend to be more 1 sided and seem to land near 10 less often.
Not sure if my last statement much sense to anyone else, but it did to me while i was writing it.
) bol 2nite guys & gurlz
Its a tough decision what to do and hindsight always plays a big part. People moan about bad beats but never remember the times they got away with it. I had Chicago Under -34.5 Yesterday @ +104 , -115 was the best I could get at the time for 35 and I just didnt think it was worth it. What really done me in that Game was the chances of an interception being run back for a TD.
With the increase in Exchanges a lot of this type theory has gone out the door as you can trade for the better numbers at prices you have never got with the Books. The figures I have are if you bet with the Books, the best value is 3 & 7, 4 is about right and 5 & 6 your getting mugged. While The Exchanges average isnt far off the Books prices, their best prices are always hugely better except for the 3 which I think is more to do with layers being wary. :drink:
With the increase in Exchanges a lot of this type theory has gone out the door as you can trade for the better numbers at prices you have never got with the Books. The figures I have are if you bet with the Books, the best value is 3 & 7, 4 is about right and 5 & 6 your getting mugged. While The Exchanges average isnt far off the Books prices, their best prices are always hugely better except for the 3 which I think is more to do with layers being wary. :drink:
