Everytime I seem to post things people think that I'm a newbie and like to bash me to death. I have practically done really well in both college football and nfl this year. These are the reasons why I'm winning week in and week out.
1. You must have 2 well funded accounts at Pinnacle, Cris because the opening numbers are so important like getting nebraska at -16 and middling. What I have noticed normally if a game moves so much in college you will win with the opening numbers at least this year. I would suggest you have 8-10 accounts because Beted had a game on bowling green -4 and everywhere had it -5. If you don't want to have that many accounts I would say just have lots of money in your Neteller account and when you see a favourable line then deposit right away. The funds are transferred instantly, that way it is safer then leaving lots of funds in the different sports books. Another reason you don't leave so much funds in is you might bet too much on a game.
2. I am noticing people that are getting rocked are the ones that have to bet and get the worst numbers. Anyone could see on donbest that Atlanta -3 was moving up. At worse you would have to pay -3 (120) if you had to wait longer. That is if you aren't sure about line movement, but taking them at the last day is definitely a loser proposition.
3. I am finding out more and more the real winners are the ones that middle games to death like taking chicago last week -3 even or little juice and taking minny +4. Normally it isn't that difficult to see what lines move in the week and you can buy it back at the exchanges for practically no juice. I admit you will make mistakes taking the opening numbers, but if you can get even one game and 2-3 games wrong, I still think you are ahead. Anyone taking nebraska -16-17 and getting other games wrong a little bit, you might lose a 100-200 on dime plays because of juice, but still think having one strong game is worth it. I admit you do need a larger bankroll because middling and buyback requires double what you would normally need.
4. In college football I have noticed especially with teams like Kent state, not top 25 teams. Like last week the line was bought down from +8.5 to +7, this should give you an indication that kent state will probably play close to the spread and should beat it. Someone definitely knows something about kent. First thing I thought was bowling green is going to kill them.
5. Follow the crazy cappers here, like Stewie21, ACE, and Fivestar and there are others, (be selective) but it seems like these guys win week in and week out. This will always be said gambling is fun if you cap your own games because if you lose you can't blame anyone and if you win you did it. That is true, but I treat gambling as an investment because if someone can provide you with winners why be stubborn about it. I normally hit 55%-60%, but even I follow people because everyone goes through winning and losing streaks. What I like to do is start small, like play 2% of your bankroll on their plays and adjust accordingly on how well they do.
If they lose 3 games in a row or they go 3-10 games, I will cut back my units a lot and maybe skip playing their plays. (control factor and money management is so important).
People will ask what if they go against each other? My advice is to probably go with the capper that you have won the most with or don't play that game at all.
6. Another thing I use to make mistakes was not betting all the games at once. Like say you have decided you are going to take 6 college and 6 nfl games. You might be scared because what if you lose a lot on the college games you might not want to play the pros. What I do is play them all, because there are so many times where you did well on saturday and on sunday the numbers you wanted were not there. If things don't look that well with the first 2-3 games then I will buyback and lose some juice. Some will say that is a losing proposition, but what I have noticed is that most of the times you are not losing a lot of juice because of all the different solid exchanges out there. If your numbers are good you should be able to make money. One good example is people could have gotten chicago -3 -120 on mansion on friday night and everyone knows what line that was on saturday night. Can't be too scared, but confident.
7. I am finding if you don't follow people you are better off taking 2 games a day, max 3. This way the books have less of a chance to make juice on you. I seen so many people play 10-12 games in college and win a few weeks and eventually they get rocked. People will say what if my other games hit, then I'm going to be upset? In the end you can't think that way because when you lay out too much games people make mistakes by playing way too many units on all the games instead of cutting back. Gambling is about rhythm, once you get raddled you will get rocked. I also said it is way easier to hit 2-3 games then hit 8-12 games. I have tried both and there were weeks I would hit 10-12, but the exposure is too great and the stress level also. You are practically a gambling junky and watching every game morning to night.
8. This is probably the most important. If you are up a lot in a season, or even 8-12 dimes just quit especially if you lose a few days. If you are doing this as a hobby that is pretty good money in my view. I have seen lots of gamblers win that much in a couple of weeks, and in the end they are down that and more. Remember all it takes is one bad week and you are wiped out and I have seen that many times. People just have to gamble because they enjoy it, but don't understand that view because it is so hard to make money. DON'T BE TOO GREEDY!!!
1. You must have 2 well funded accounts at Pinnacle, Cris because the opening numbers are so important like getting nebraska at -16 and middling. What I have noticed normally if a game moves so much in college you will win with the opening numbers at least this year. I would suggest you have 8-10 accounts because Beted had a game on bowling green -4 and everywhere had it -5. If you don't want to have that many accounts I would say just have lots of money in your Neteller account and when you see a favourable line then deposit right away. The funds are transferred instantly, that way it is safer then leaving lots of funds in the different sports books. Another reason you don't leave so much funds in is you might bet too much on a game.
2. I am noticing people that are getting rocked are the ones that have to bet and get the worst numbers. Anyone could see on donbest that Atlanta -3 was moving up. At worse you would have to pay -3 (120) if you had to wait longer. That is if you aren't sure about line movement, but taking them at the last day is definitely a loser proposition.
3. I am finding out more and more the real winners are the ones that middle games to death like taking chicago last week -3 even or little juice and taking minny +4. Normally it isn't that difficult to see what lines move in the week and you can buy it back at the exchanges for practically no juice. I admit you will make mistakes taking the opening numbers, but if you can get even one game and 2-3 games wrong, I still think you are ahead. Anyone taking nebraska -16-17 and getting other games wrong a little bit, you might lose a 100-200 on dime plays because of juice, but still think having one strong game is worth it. I admit you do need a larger bankroll because middling and buyback requires double what you would normally need.
4. In college football I have noticed especially with teams like Kent state, not top 25 teams. Like last week the line was bought down from +8.5 to +7, this should give you an indication that kent state will probably play close to the spread and should beat it. Someone definitely knows something about kent. First thing I thought was bowling green is going to kill them.
5. Follow the crazy cappers here, like Stewie21, ACE, and Fivestar and there are others, (be selective) but it seems like these guys win week in and week out. This will always be said gambling is fun if you cap your own games because if you lose you can't blame anyone and if you win you did it. That is true, but I treat gambling as an investment because if someone can provide you with winners why be stubborn about it. I normally hit 55%-60%, but even I follow people because everyone goes through winning and losing streaks. What I like to do is start small, like play 2% of your bankroll on their plays and adjust accordingly on how well they do.
If they lose 3 games in a row or they go 3-10 games, I will cut back my units a lot and maybe skip playing their plays. (control factor and money management is so important).
People will ask what if they go against each other? My advice is to probably go with the capper that you have won the most with or don't play that game at all.
6. Another thing I use to make mistakes was not betting all the games at once. Like say you have decided you are going to take 6 college and 6 nfl games. You might be scared because what if you lose a lot on the college games you might not want to play the pros. What I do is play them all, because there are so many times where you did well on saturday and on sunday the numbers you wanted were not there. If things don't look that well with the first 2-3 games then I will buyback and lose some juice. Some will say that is a losing proposition, but what I have noticed is that most of the times you are not losing a lot of juice because of all the different solid exchanges out there. If your numbers are good you should be able to make money. One good example is people could have gotten chicago -3 -120 on mansion on friday night and everyone knows what line that was on saturday night. Can't be too scared, but confident.
7. I am finding if you don't follow people you are better off taking 2 games a day, max 3. This way the books have less of a chance to make juice on you. I seen so many people play 10-12 games in college and win a few weeks and eventually they get rocked. People will say what if my other games hit, then I'm going to be upset? In the end you can't think that way because when you lay out too much games people make mistakes by playing way too many units on all the games instead of cutting back. Gambling is about rhythm, once you get raddled you will get rocked. I also said it is way easier to hit 2-3 games then hit 8-12 games. I have tried both and there were weeks I would hit 10-12, but the exposure is too great and the stress level also. You are practically a gambling junky and watching every game morning to night.
8. This is probably the most important. If you are up a lot in a season, or even 8-12 dimes just quit especially if you lose a few days. If you are doing this as a hobby that is pretty good money in my view. I have seen lots of gamblers win that much in a couple of weeks, and in the end they are down that and more. Remember all it takes is one bad week and you are wiped out and I have seen that many times. People just have to gamble because they enjoy it, but don't understand that view because it is so hard to make money. DON'T BE TOO GREEDY!!!
