TWINS GAME - another ODD line Arrangement

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How is a -195 Favorite, have the dog +1.5(Oak) at -135.......I could see -110 or even money when moving from a money line of -195 to a +1.5 but just that half run almost puts Minn equivalent to a -145 fav and not a 195 fav


hmmmm Interesting:modemman:
 

Rx Post Doc
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NEWPORT...this may be related.

First, though: that makes you think they are 'drawing' money to Minny right? Correct?

In the last four years and 16 games of first games of first series not one has been decided by 1 run. 16 games decided by two or more out of 16 games.

It is my strong belief that whomever wins is going to win by more than one run. Given that, you would think then that the -1.5 line for Minny would be that much 'higher' say at -1.20 possibly, NOT +money! That is suspicious, isn't it?

Well, I'll say that if Oakland wins today, they should do it by more than one run.

tulsa
 

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Good analysis TULSA, and even BETTER would be to bet the -1.5 OAK reverse line at +255. NEWPORT and his VALUE looks LOL

Whether there is an attempt to get more action on a high priced Minny and I can speculate, but do I beleive that Minny is inflated at -190...Most definitely, does not mean they will not win, but the run line differentials are telling me, that Twins -150 to-155 is more the norm here

gl NEWPORT

Hey got your e-mail, we will chat later NEWPORT
 

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yea what I would take from this peculiar line arrangement is the same thing, if I was to bet the underdog I would put a half unit on the moneyline and a half unit on the alternate run line.
 

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Because the starting pitching and bullpens are so good in this game a two run win is much more unlikely to happen then in the average regular season game where the +1.5 and -1.5's are at much different prices. the prices here of the +1.5 and -1.5 are a reflection of the pitching in this game in my opinion.
 

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NEWPORT said:
How is a -195 Favorite, have the dog +1.5(Oak) at -135.......I could see -110 or even money when moving from a money line of -195 to a +1.5 but just that half run almost puts Minn equivalent to a -145 fav and not a 195 fav


hmmmm Interesting:modemman:

The moneyline to runline odds are further apart due to the low total.
 

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HMMMMM!!!!! Something to be said with good analysis

:modemman:
 

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