Though all series are still undecided, I see a possible great betting opportunity so would like alll opinions and advice on how to approach. Assuming Cardinals finish off Padres sometime in next couple of day(so assuming series win), Cards would be 7-1 under Larussa in any playoff series where Cardinals won Game 1. On the contrary, Cards managed by Larussa is 0-5 in any playoff series that Cards lost Game 1. What I see here is Game 1 being the key to who wins NLCS if Cards are involved. Also, series started on the road under Larussa, Cards ae 3-3(assuming Pads win) but they are 4-3 at home so no advantage either way based on home field.
Here is question or thought on what I see:
If they play Mets (Mets have home field advantage):
Bet Cards to win series (get Plus number) Bet Mets to win Game 1
If Cards win Game 1, Bet Cards in rest of games on NLCS with likely Plus Money as odds in our favor that they win series.
If Cards lose Game 1, Bet Mets to win every game rest of the series as Cards based on above stats lose series. I will also note that when Cards have lost Game 1, Cards often don't even win 1 game of series.
96 Atlanta went 7 games (lost 4-3)
00 Mets went 5 games (lost 4-1)
01 Arizona went 5 games (lost 3-2)
02 Giants went 5 games (lost 4-1)
04 Red Sox went 4 games (lost 4-0)
If Cards play Dodgers (Cards homefield advantage):
Bet Dodgers to win Series at plus number, Bet Cards to Win Game 1
If Cards win Game 1, Bet Cards rest of games of series
If Cards lose Game 1, Bet Cards to lose rest of games of series.
(This is alot more risky vs Dodgers as Cards are 7-0 this year vs LA and have owned them for quite some time in regular season, and like SD in playoffs.)
Thoughts? Also, for any Oakland fans out there, wonder if you have stats of A's in playoffs under Larussa winning series and losing series based on Game 1 win or loss. I would be willing to bet that they are as lopsided with A's as they are with Cards as I do know all 3 WS he was in with Oakland, whoever won Game 1 won Series (Dodgers-lost,lost, Giants-Won,Won, Reds-lost,lost).
Here is question or thought on what I see:
If they play Mets (Mets have home field advantage):
Bet Cards to win series (get Plus number) Bet Mets to win Game 1
If Cards win Game 1, Bet Cards in rest of games on NLCS with likely Plus Money as odds in our favor that they win series.
If Cards lose Game 1, Bet Mets to win every game rest of the series as Cards based on above stats lose series. I will also note that when Cards have lost Game 1, Cards often don't even win 1 game of series.
96 Atlanta went 7 games (lost 4-3)
00 Mets went 5 games (lost 4-1)
01 Arizona went 5 games (lost 3-2)
02 Giants went 5 games (lost 4-1)
04 Red Sox went 4 games (lost 4-0)
If Cards play Dodgers (Cards homefield advantage):
Bet Dodgers to win Series at plus number, Bet Cards to Win Game 1
If Cards win Game 1, Bet Cards rest of games of series
If Cards lose Game 1, Bet Cards to lose rest of games of series.
(This is alot more risky vs Dodgers as Cards are 7-0 this year vs LA and have owned them for quite some time in regular season, and like SD in playoffs.)
Thoughts? Also, for any Oakland fans out there, wonder if you have stats of A's in playoffs under Larussa winning series and losing series based on Game 1 win or loss. I would be willing to bet that they are as lopsided with A's as they are with Cards as I do know all 3 WS he was in with Oakland, whoever won Game 1 won Series (Dodgers-lost,lost, Giants-Won,Won, Reds-lost,lost).