Looking Ahead To Possible Betting Opportunity in NLCS!

Though all series are still undecided, I see a possible great betting opportunity so would like alll opinions and advice on how to approach. Assuming Cardinals finish off Padres sometime in next couple of day(so assuming series win), Cards would be 7-1 under Larussa in any playoff series where Cardinals won Game 1. On the contrary, Cards managed by Larussa is 0-5 in any playoff series that Cards lost Game 1. What I see here is Game 1 being the key to who wins NLCS if Cards are involved. Also, series started on the road under Larussa, Cards ae 3-3(assuming Pads win) but they are 4-3 at home so no advantage either way based on home field.

Here is question or thought on what I see:
If they play Mets (Mets have home field advantage):
Bet Cards to win series (get Plus number) Bet Mets to win Game 1
If Cards win Game 1, Bet Cards in rest of games on NLCS with likely Plus Money as odds in our favor that they win series.
If Cards lose Game 1, Bet Mets to win every game rest of the series as Cards based on above stats lose series. I will also note that when Cards have lost Game 1, Cards often don't even win 1 game of series.

96 Atlanta went 7 games (lost 4-3)
00 Mets went 5 games (lost 4-1)
01 Arizona went 5 games (lost 3-2)
02 Giants went 5 games (lost 4-1)
04 Red Sox went 4 games (lost 4-0)

If Cards play Dodgers (Cards homefield advantage):
Bet Dodgers to win Series at plus number, Bet Cards to Win Game 1
If Cards win Game 1, Bet Cards rest of games of series

If Cards lose Game 1, Bet Cards to lose rest of games of series.
(This is alot more risky vs Dodgers as Cards are 7-0 this year vs LA and have owned them for quite some time in regular season, and like SD in playoffs.)

Thoughts? Also, for any Oakland fans out there, wonder if you have stats of A's in playoffs under Larussa winning series and losing series based on Game 1 win or loss. I would be willing to bet that they are as lopsided with A's as they are with Cards as I do know all 3 WS he was in with Oakland, whoever won Game 1 won Series (Dodgers-lost,lost, Giants-Won,Won, Reds-lost,lost).

We can also include Larussa's record with White Sox. I think that he had one playoff series vs Orioles in 83 and believe in follows same trend as I believe White Sox lost Game 1 and lost series. Need someone to verify Game 1 results.

Kojak, the Mets, questionable starting pitching and all, are going to the WS in my opinion. SD just can't hit a lick. The Mets will wear Soup Can and Weaver out.

Hey Kojak, need a litlle help today. Any leans TWINS/A'S OR YANKS/TIGERS. Took a beating yesterday with YANKS, DODGERS AND FLORIDA STATE. Thanks, DAVE

Kojak :thumbsup2:

hey kojak i like the way you think.i will keep my eyes open thanks..:money8:

totally agree as i am a big cards fan as well.
weaver looking real good of late
carpenter is an ace
need somebody to step up and suppan can be the guy

Fair Warning,

I could do that but best series odds if Cards make it that far and win Game 1 would be before series starts. If Cards would win Game 1, books change odds after every game, and they would not be as good after winning.