I feel I was right yesterday going aginst Randy Johnson. I did think the Yankee would score some though.
Before looking at things I thought it would point to Detroit. Bonderman 14-8 and 4.08 vs Wright 11-7 and 4.49 era.
When I look closer at the numbers though, this is the best possible situation for Wright and the worst possible for Bonderman.
Wright is better on the road, going 6-2 and 3.99 era, he is 6-2 in day games with hitter only hitting 254. He gets better as the game goes on so you need to hit against him early. He also pitches better when there are runner in scoring position, batting average drops to 236 in this situation.
Bonderman is a polar opposite. Era higher at home 4.57, record worse at home, just 1-6 in day games, batters hit 239 in night games but 299 in the day. They hit 248 against him away and 270 at home, 246 with runners in scoring position. The batting averages rise the longer he is in the game. first nine batters hit just 241 against him, the 19-27 batters hit 280 aginst him. He does have a nice 202 k to just 64 bb.
With that said, I think the bullpens are going to be important on saturday. Detroit will need to get to Wright early and then go after the Yankees bullpen. Even when they lost game one the tigers didn't show any quit and battled back a couple of times. They appear to be playing with confidence.
The Yankees will hit on saturday. Bonderman is going to give up some runs and Leyland will go to the pen early. I think Bonderman gives up at least 3 and is pulled before the sixth.
Detroit has the stronger bullpen and the fact they are playing loose and the Yankees are going to be feeling some pressure makes me side with the home team. The statrting pitching looks even not an advantage to Detroit like I thought it might be.
Final score Detroit 6 Yankees 5
Before looking at things I thought it would point to Detroit. Bonderman 14-8 and 4.08 vs Wright 11-7 and 4.49 era.
When I look closer at the numbers though, this is the best possible situation for Wright and the worst possible for Bonderman.
Wright is better on the road, going 6-2 and 3.99 era, he is 6-2 in day games with hitter only hitting 254. He gets better as the game goes on so you need to hit against him early. He also pitches better when there are runner in scoring position, batting average drops to 236 in this situation.
Bonderman is a polar opposite. Era higher at home 4.57, record worse at home, just 1-6 in day games, batters hit 239 in night games but 299 in the day. They hit 248 against him away and 270 at home, 246 with runners in scoring position. The batting averages rise the longer he is in the game. first nine batters hit just 241 against him, the 19-27 batters hit 280 aginst him. He does have a nice 202 k to just 64 bb.
With that said, I think the bullpens are going to be important on saturday. Detroit will need to get to Wright early and then go after the Yankees bullpen. Even when they lost game one the tigers didn't show any quit and battled back a couple of times. They appear to be playing with confidence.
The Yankees will hit on saturday. Bonderman is going to give up some runs and Leyland will go to the pen early. I think Bonderman gives up at least 3 and is pulled before the sixth.
Detroit has the stronger bullpen and the fact they are playing loose and the Yankees are going to be feeling some pressure makes me side with the home team. The statrting pitching looks even not an advantage to Detroit like I thought it might be.
Final score Detroit 6 Yankees 5
