Cincy -5 .trap ???

kimchee7270 · Oct 13, 2006

I know cincy opened at 5 and A half and went to 6 .but now some books are only offering 5's.........Without a Doubt the Squares Will pounce on cincy with Straight plays n teasers ..question is ..80% of the play will be on cincy.who the fvck's gonna bet tampa ?

Havin said that.....why is the line movin Down?.....Trap or what?.I know for damn sure pinny tried to trap Carolina squares last week by offering 7 and a half when the line opened withcarol - 9and a half.the Public Was STILL Betting on CAROLINA ......my associate was Writing ALL CArolina teasers and YET the line Kept comin Down.last week the trap did Not work.........IS the CIncy game the squares downfall this week ? I Know this... 6 and a half or even a 7 will be laid out AND The boyz Will STill Take Cincy ?

cincy_ · Oct 13, 2006

kimchee7270 said:
I know cincy opened at 5 and A half and went to 6 .but now some books are only offering 5's.........Without a Doubt the Squares Will pounce on cincy with Straight plays n teasers ..question is ..80% of the play will be on cincy.who the fvck's gonna bet tampa ?

Havin said that.....why is the line movin Down?.....Trap or what?.I know for damn sure pinny tried to trap Carolina squares last week by offering 7 and a half when the line opened withcarol - 9and a half.the Public Was STILL Betting on CAROLINA ......my associate was Writing ALL CArolina teasers and YET the line Kept comin Down.last week the trap did Not work.........IS the CIncy game the squares downfall this week ? I Know this... 6 and a half or even a 7 will be laid out AND The boyz Will STill Take Cincy ?

I doubt the public will be on Cincy because of the way they lost at home to New England, and anybody who was making money by fading Tampa lost last week when they covered.

The public will never overwhelmingly back a team coming off a loss ATS against a team that won ATS. People have short memories.

Fishhead · Oct 13, 2006

Tough game to handicap in my opinion.

I really, really like this rookie QB for Tampa............think he is really going to be a good one, MUCH better than Simms ever thought of being.

Tampa probably losses a close game..........

PREDICTION

CINCY 23
TAMPA 17

kimchee7270 · Oct 13, 2006

thanxguys.but this game still smells fishy.......cincy is a public team !the money will still pour in on cincy although tampa is good ats . i'd be interested to c if the line drops to 4 ...doubt it, but if it does ..stay away from cincy !

nflplayer · Oct 13, 2006

Kimchee the cleveland did cover last week anybody who has multiple outs would have gotten them +8.5 or better. Not sure if cincy is going to cover or not, but I would be careful there if you like cincy.

steaktartar · Oct 13, 2006

gee fish thanx for havin this land 6

levistep · Oct 13, 2006

Are there really any books that throw out traps? I don't think there main concern is the $20 bettor who wants to play all the home favs.

limestonesaint · Oct 13, 2006

cincy_ said:
I doubt the public will be on Cincy because of the way they lost at home to New England, and anybody who was making money by fading Tampa lost last week when they covered.

The public will never overwhelmingly back a team coming off a loss ATS against a team that won ATS. People have short memories.

78% on Cincy at wagerline....id say thats the majority of the public

WharfRat+ · Oct 13, 2006

Smells fishy to me as well, as was NO -6 vs tampa last week.

I'm not touching it.

LarryTalbot · Oct 13, 2006

cincy is heavily favored by the public gamblers. Tampa gave up 14 points on a fumble return and a punt return last week. They would have won that game if it weren't for those mistakes. Gradkowski didn't do too badly.

Cincy's D has been suspect and Tampa loves to pound the ball in. I wouldn't be surprised if Tampa gets their first win here.

Woody0 · Oct 13, 2006

levistep said:
Are there really any books that throw out traps? I don't think there main concern is the $20 bettor who wants to play all the home favs.

I'm shocked, shocked. I've read for years about trap games and evil books from the sophisticated punters here and now you've destroyed my faith you skeptic.

da1prophet · Oct 13, 2006

kimchee7270 said:
I know cincy opened at 5 and A half and went to 6 .but now some books are only offering 5's.........Without a Doubt the Squares Will pounce on cincy with Straight plays n teasers ..question is ..80% of the play will be on cincy.who the fvck's gonna bet tampa ?

Havin said that.....why is the line movin Down?.....Trap or what?.I know for damn sure pinny tried to trap Carolina squares last week by offering 7 and a half when the line opened withcarol - 9and a half.the Public Was STILL Betting on CAROLINA ......my associate was Writing ALL CArolina teasers and YET the line Kept comin Down.last week the trap did Not work.........IS the CIncy game the squares downfall this week ? I Know this... 6 and a half or even a 7 will be laid out AND The boyz Will STill Take Cincy ?

Haven't finalized my NFL for the weekend, but taking a long look at Tampa here. In addition to going against the public--which on balance is usually a good thing--Tampa looks to be coming around somewhat. Were it not for the Reggie Bush punt return for TD they would have won the game at New Orleans SU, so I'm thinking that the fact they didn't is giving me a little value here. A number of other sharp NFL guys I know are also looking at the Bucs....

WINONTHENOSEONLY · Oct 13, 2006

kimchee7270 said:
I know cincy opened at 5 and A half and went to 6 .but now some books are only offering 5's.........Without a Doubt the Squares Will pounce on cincy with Straight plays n teasers ..question is ..80% of the play will be on cincy.who the fvck's gonna bet tampa ?

Havin said that.....why is the line movin Down?.....Trap or what?.I know for damn sure pinny tried to trap Carolina squares last week by offering 7 and a half when the line opened withcarol - 9and a half.the Public Was STILL Betting on CAROLINA ......my associate was Writing ALL CArolina teasers and YET the line Kept comin Down.last week the trap did Not work.........IS the CIncy game the squares downfall this week ? I Know this... 6 and a half or even a 7 will be laid out AND The boyz Will STill Take Cincy ?

In my opinion there is definately a lean towards Tampa Bay by the spreadmakers as this line is an extremely tight number. Of course that wont mean they will be right but wouldnt be suprised to see cinncy win it by a FG here with a Tampa cover.

Also in my opinion smart money is keeping the number down and to me a no doubter public money on Cincy, no way Joe Public is jumping on the TB.

Of course I used this same logic last when unloadiing on Oklahoma last weekend and you can see what happened there.

Rude · Oct 13, 2006

Huge game for Cincy. They will come out and make a statement with this game. Looks for them to run up the score in this one. :103631605

Look for them to win this by 20+ points here.

kimchee7270 · Oct 14, 2006

Thanx Guys

again .....no Doubt the Regular majority Squares Will play Cincy as evidenced by your opinions , Which Leads me To Feel good about Tam.pa getting the points

sharp action Doesn't always win , But it's better to be With the sharps than the squares . pinny offering 5 and a half as well !

Rude · Oct 14, 2006

Good Luck!

I guess we will see who the square is after Sundays game.

kimchee7270 · Oct 14, 2006

most books now down to 4 and a half..wow.......possibly a 4bytomorrow....Gosh...Tampa hasn't won a Game yet n cincy is suppossed To Be one of The elite Teams...I Don't Care How Sharp These books are , There is No way I'll Be Writing any Tampa Tomorrow....Cincy -6 far as I care ....no sharps please !

Cincy -5 .trap ???

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