Max"mendel" Brandwein.....a shrewd bookie who worked for the mob always said the reason why "we" always win and"they" always lose is they are always takin the - and we are always getting the +...e.g. laying -110..the book is getting +110....just simple math....you are paying juice for the coin flip...a mathematical certainty is losing........u will win sometimes but over the long haul "mendel" is correct.....playing all these games is liking jerking off..u will be on the - end in time.....That is why Bodog,Pinnacle, Sportsbook.com can pay all their ad bills,Tv spots,etc..with your $$$$.....I still bet ..its fun....
SSI:
So you've uncovered some new "system" yet again? Last year around this time it was your one play a day theory stating that you could hit over 60% for the life of the plays. You were doing great after about 60 plays but then you hit a cold snap and stopped because you finally fell below your magic barrier and came out with some "system" that was playing about 60 plays a week. Anything can look good with a sample of 200 plays and is purely luck.
Now you are saying 47% year round taking +134 dogs. Give me a break. I predict the same thing will happen that has every time before with you. You have found something that has started off hot as hell for you and you will pound your chest till a cold snap hits and then you will be right back with something new. You quickly abandon your new "systems" that start with a cold streak and claim something is broken.
I'm not saying that you can't continue your hot run for another month, or even 6 months but probablity will catch up with you.
There are a few ways to win in sportsbetting and blindly betting ML Dogs just because they look competitive isn't the way (unless you are getting great prices which are consitstently above market).
When you are ready to learn how to beat the line, you must first beat the line move or deal with square shops who hang beatable numbers.
I really hope your hot run continues but you are in another world if you think you are going to beat Pinnacle by betting some system.
Good luck because you are going to need it
So you've uncovered some new "system" yet again? Last year around this time it was your one play a day theory stating that you could hit over 60% for the life of the plays. You were doing great after about 60 plays but then you hit a cold snap and stopped because you finally fell below your magic barrier and came out with some "system" that was playing about 60 plays a week. Anything can look good with a sample of 200 plays and is purely luck.
Now you are saying 47% year round taking +134 dogs. Give me a break. I predict the same thing will happen that has every time before with you. You have found something that has started off hot as hell for you and you will pound your chest till a cold snap hits and then you will be right back with something new. You quickly abandon your new "systems" that start with a cold streak and claim something is broken.
I'm not saying that you can't continue your hot run for another month, or even 6 months but probablity will catch up with you.
There are a few ways to win in sportsbetting and blindly betting ML Dogs just because they look competitive isn't the way (unless you are getting great prices which are consitstently above market).
When you are ready to learn how to beat the line, you must first beat the line move or deal with square shops who hang beatable numbers.
I really hope your hot run continues but you are in another world if you think you are going to beat Pinnacle by betting some system.
Good luck because you are going to need it
