something doesnt seem right

brianm111 · Oct 24, 2006

Alright, I already know most views on the over/under is pushing towards the under and I have to admit I am sorta leaning towards it but one thing bothers me. In sundays game, Weaver and Rogers were pitching, clearly the teams best pitchers this postseason and the over/under was 8.5. Now Robertson vs Carpenter and the over/under is 7.5. Robertson has definitely not been a shutdown pitcher and Carpenter although at home hasn't been pitching all that great. I am about to go against everyone and shoot for the over.

thekid78 · Oct 24, 2006

Im not playing the total, but the reason is probably that Carpenter was lights out at home this season. His ERA was under 2 and was by far the best NL pitcher in his own stadium. On the other side of things, the Cards cant hit lefties as they were something like 26-36 against them this season and also had a losing record at night, which probably means they didnt hit as well at night. All of this adds up to the total being 7.5. Personally, Id stay as far away from it as possible.

brianm111 · Oct 24, 2006

Yea I know that carpenter was great at home, I think his arm is dead, he isnt pitching well. With the cards against lefties that makes me want to go towards the tigers ml. though something just makes me want to go with the over, I know im crazy

ksta7090ks · Oct 24, 2006

Arm is dead? Look at his record in post season. He has had is normal days of rest and he will be focus and fueled by playing a Series home game! Sure late in season he wore down but no more than any Ace on a team. This Cy young pitcher has played big games before and will play another tonite!

jdub6810 · Oct 24, 2006

go under. Cy young carpenter is in his first world series game. You think, even with a tired arm, he's gonna throw a stinker? no. Key bats in the tiger lineup are ice cold in the WS so far.
Nate robertson? he's shown us nothing, but he is a lefty.
Vegas doesn't expect many runs, & neither should you. look for a lot of guys left on base tonight.
GL on your play

brianm111 · Oct 24, 2006

thanks for the insight, i like the fact that you see a lot of men getting on base because i feel tonight they will actually get them home, gl to u but i went with the over strong

Betting4Fun · Oct 24, 2006

brianm111 said:
thanks for the insight, i like the fact that you see a lot of men getting on base because i feel tonight they will actually get them home, gl to u but i went with the over strong

You made a very good point in regards to the odds offered by the books.
I am playing the over tonight for small play too.GL.

brianm111 · Oct 24, 2006

Betting4Fun said:
You made a very good point in regards to the odds offered by the books.
I am playing the over tonight for small play too.GL.

GL to you, it just didn't seem right to me and something was fishy

Betting4Fun · Oct 25, 2006

Glad my 2nd bet was on the Cards -1.5,that covered this
plus change to still end in profit.maybe tomorrow we will
see the over..if Tigers want to have any chance they better
start hitting tomorrow.