Shouldn't STL be a bigger favorite in game 4?

I'm seeing this at -110 and I can't believe it. I've been riding the under and will continue but I expected Suppan to be -140/-145 against Bonderman, STL obvious a great home team and Suppan is hot while the DET bats have mustered only 5 runs in 3 games. I just hit this pretty hard and I'll be on the under as well, anyone else expecting a bigger number. I know if I was lookingto back DET I would be expecting a better deal than EVEN/-105 in this spot. Any thoughts? It one of those where I trusted my gut and now I'm second guessing myself all day lol.

I think the reason this line is so low is out of respect to the Tigers. If they are going to make a stand and have any chance of winning this series, they are going to have to Win Game 4 imo. This should be the most competitive games of the series and I am expecting a tight game here. I know Suppan is pitching well, but still feel it is a tossup. I give edge to Cards but not like I felt last night.

Public is all over Detroit already. Makes me like the Cards even more.

Bonderman is every bit as good as Suppan. The line is correct IMO.

Another Cardinals fan mentioned the same thing as you on another board. I believe Cardinals fans' opinions are biased with regards to this game.

IS

InSpades said:

Bonderman is every bit as good as Suppan. The line is correct IMO.

Another Cardinals fan mentioned the same thing as you on another board. I believe Cardinals fans' opinions are biased with regards to this game.

IS

Click to expand...

Bonderman is a better pitcher than Suppan IMO. Suppan did pitch well the last 2 times out but I'd take Bonderman even on the road. Not surprised to see the line this close. Any higher I would take Detroit big

i think it's too low. det is in deep funk, they look like they are in a funk. stl bullpen confident & rested. don't trust zumaya nor monroe, they aren't rested. jones is a disaster waiting too happen. stl bullpen seems confident and aggressive.

Here's some info from wagerline regarding the number of people on a side. It's just for their non-wagering site but could still be helpful.


All Player Consensus| 10/25/2006


<TABLE id=tblData cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 border=0><TBODY><TR><TD>Sides (ATS)


<TABLE class=data id=tblConATS cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="11%">Time (ET)</TD><TD width="20%">Away</TD><TD width="6%">Line</TD><TD width="6%">Picks</TD><TD width="8%">Pct</TD><TD width="22%">Home</TD><TD width="6%">Line</TD><TD width="7%">Picks</TD><TD width="8%">Pct</TD><TD width="6%">View</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>8:00 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Detroit</TD><TD class=datacell>-101</TD><TD class=datacell>551</TD><TD class=datacell>57.88%</TD><TD class=datacell>St. Louis</TD><TD class=datacell>-107</TD><TD class=datacell>401</TD><TD class=datacell>42.12%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detail</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>Totals (Over/Under)

<TABLE class=data id=tblConOU cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0><TBODY><TR class=datahead><TD width="11%">Time (ET)</TD><TD width="22%">Away</TD><TD width="8%">Total</TD><TD width="24%">Home</TD><TD width="6%">Over</TD><TD width="8%">Pct</TD><TD width="7%">Under</TD><TD width="8%">Pct</TD><TD width="6%">View</TD></TR><TR><TD class=datacell>8:00 PM</TD><TD class=datacell>Detroit</TD><TD class=datacell>7.5</TD><TD class=datacell>St. Louis</TD><TD class=datacell>517</TD><TD class=datapicks>64.63%</TD><TD class=datacell>283</TD><TD class=datacell>35.38%</TD><TD class=datacell>Detai</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

I'll admit I'm biased that's why I said originally if I was looking to back Detroit I would be expecting a better price, I'm looking from both sides. I just see a team who has a great home record with a hot pitcher against a team struggling at the plate with a good pitcher, like I said I'll still play the under but I feel that -110 is too cheap for a team with one of the best home records in baseball against a team who has scored 5 runs in 3 games.

The UNDER was a mess as DET had their best night at the dish however they played poorly defensively yet again and gave the Cards a game they probably shouldn't have won but I'll take it and I learned my lesson, no more greedy bets the line was right on it was a pick em. I feel I got away with one.