The Games Up For Us Old Boys

I know some of the Old Boys on here are not bad at typing but these New Geezers are wizards on the Keyboard, by the time I've written a Two sentenced answer, they've posted War and Peace. The biggest problem is a Sharp like me who has a lifetime of experience being shrewd gets washed out in the tide of nonsense.

With all this in mind, maybe the RX can open up an old Posters Home/Forum where We can post at our own pace. I'm sure it will suit not only most of the Mods but some of our "once was good but has gone at the Game" posters. However, let me make it clear, there's a big difference between a sharp slow typer and a Forum for Ex-Sharps giving out weather forecasts for Games. :drink:

What time is it now on the wrong side of the sea, midnight?
Past bedtime for an old geezer, ain't it?
Is that your beddybye snack? :drink:

Re your inquiry, there are three ways to go, but as Led Zeppelin
sings, in the long run you can change the road your on:

A. Typing class

B. Speed reading

C. Know who to bypass {i believe you know the posters here}

D. Put the young tics on ignore

Great stuff X but fatal flaw quoteing Zeppelin. Obviously your as Old as the rest of Us:missingte That avatar always gave the impression you were a Wet- eared youngster. arty:

I see that you have found me out. It wasn't easy to pull the wool
on you for so long, as very little gets past that itchy ball sack.
With that in mind, BTW, what's your take on this commentary:

"In the past, many sharp gamblers who went to Vegas attempting to MIDDLE FOOTBALL are now BROKE.

Ask some Wise Guys if you doubt it.

Middling hoops is an entirely different matter altogether and can be very profitable, but I'll save that for a separate column.

Someone recently stated, "if you can beat the number you should be rich without ever having to hit a middle."

I agree with this statement because if you have 20-30 cents the better of it after the line moves, you are NOT increasing your chances of profiting by middling the current line...

My argument has nothing to do with the size of your bankroll, nor has it anything to do with ego.

It's basic math.

If I have plus 6 on a Football game for example, and the line closes at plus 4, it would cost me -$1.50 in juice based on "customary" vigorish to buy back to plus 6, so therefore, I have a SIGNIFICANT advantage.

Now of course, middlers will argue they can get reduced juice, but it still doesn't matter because each bet is independent of the other. Therefore, the second bet at the current line gives the gambler NO advantage over the bookmaker in and of itself...

However, professional middlers will argue (and rightfully so) that the basic strategy when betting a DOG or an UNDER , is you don't buy back on the FAVORITE or the OVER....

The flip side however is if you initially bet the favorite or the over, basic strategy calls to play back some of your bet on the other side right before kickoff.

Why?

-Because there are usually a bunch of recreational bettors driving the line above where it should be right before kickoff for both the favorite and the over...

Let's take a few examples from this weekend's slate of College Football games...

Example Game 304- Tulsa -14 vs Utep

A Professional gambler I know, namely Fezzik, has bet Tulsa because he figures he will be able to dump part of his bet back at plus 16 or higher. It is important to note he didn't originally bet the side he liked, but he bet anticipating which way the line would likely move and he took the favorite at a cheaper price with reduced juice than the game will wind up closing at...

Another example involves another favorite, Rutgers, where he laid 18 points and expects to dump part of it back at 21.

Now one bet he WON'T buy back on is game 342 Purdue plus 4 vs. Penn State. Why not?

-Because it is an UNDERDOG and he believes the correct line should be between 2 1/2 or 3 and lastly, he believes it is "THE RIGHT SIDE." "

Winbet,

Have not seen you with anything for this weekend. I do not care how long it takes you to post, I enjoy your writeups, and look forward to your insights. :toast:

Yeah, WB, just keep it short & sweet, like...

Chi -16, bollox, are you jokers kidding? SF +16 {2 units}!

great read in here guys, brought a smile to my face!

winbet said:

I know some of the Old Boys on here are not bad at typing but these New Geezers are wizards on the Keyboard, by the time I've written a Two sentenced answer, they've posted War and Peace. The biggest problem is a Sharp like me who has a lifetime of experience being shrewd gets washed out in the tide of nonsense.

With all this in mind, maybe the RX can open up an old Posters Home/Forum where We can post at our own pace. I'm sure it will suit not only most of the Mods but some of our "once was good but has gone at the Game" posters. However, let me make it clear, there's a big difference between a sharp slow typer and a Forum for Ex-Sharps giving out weather forecasts for Games. :drink:

Click to expand...

Try this out:

Fill up a Word document with all of your frequently used phrases, and just copy and paste them when you post.

Efficient, no?

Type fast hell I can't even walk fast any longer.