NFL home 'dogs profitable so far

CharlieMaxwell · Oct 30, 2006

NFL underdogs covered at just a 42 percent rate last year. This season, however, underdogs were covering 54 percent heading into Week 8. Home ‘dogs have been especially profitable, evidenced by a 24-15 record for a 62 percent success rate. Home teams getting points during the past five weeks have gone 19-8.

Read the rest of Phillip Hogan's latest column by going to the RX home page at www.therx.com

Charlie

:modemman:

Fishhead · Oct 30, 2006

Love underdogs!

:dancefool

Iceman · Oct 30, 2006

Try to follow the golden rule of not laying 3 or more in NFL and every week a game or 2 stick out like a sore thumb (Philly -5.5) and i bet it and it seems like I lose. Need to be more strict on this rule.

Fishhead · Oct 30, 2006

Iceman said:
Try to follow the golden rule of not laying 3 or more in NFL and every week a game or 2 stick out like a sore thumb (Philly -5.5) and i bet it and it seems like I lose. Need to be more strict on this rule.

I also follow this golden rule......I think many people fell into this trap this week.....:nopityA:

Bluemyboy · Oct 30, 2006

bump.....

Hitman26 · Oct 30, 2006

Iceman and FISH:

I will lay 5.5 everytime the line closes at 8 and I promise you after about 100 plays I will never be in the red.

I don't understand this "golden rule" about never laying more than 3 in the NFL. If you can forecast line moves and can lay 6.5 when the line closes 7 or higher. If you can lay 9.5 when the line closes 10.5 or higher, how is that not a winning percentage? If you can lay 3.5 when the line closes at 6 or higher then why not?

Can someone explain this to me?

Moon88 · Oct 30, 2006

Fishhead said:
Love underdogs!

arty:

Fishhead · Oct 30, 2006

Hitman26 said:
Iceman and FISH:

I will lay 5.5 everytime the line closes at 8 and I promise you after about 100 plays I will never be in the red.

I don't understand this "golden rule" about never laying more than 3 in the NFL. If you can forecast line moves and can lay 6.5 when the line closes 7 or higher. If you can lay 9.5 when the line closes 10.5 or higher, how is that not a winning percentage? If you can lay 3.5 when the line closes at 6 or higher then why not?

Can someone explain this to me?

As I have stated MANY times on this forum, there are many successful ways to attack a bookmaker/shop.

What you stated is a wonderful way to take advantage if you are capable of doing what you stated and what you strive to do as a successful sportsbettor.

Personally, I just go about attacking the NFL in a different matter.............one which I'm sure you will agree if followed with strong discipline can be a method to show longterm results which are positive.

Hitman26 · Oct 30, 2006

Fishhead said:
As I have stated MANY times on this forum, there are many successful ways to attack a bookmaker/shop.

What you stated is a wonderful way to take advantage if you are capable of doing what you stated and what you strive to do as a successful sportsbettor.

Personally, I just go about attacking the NFL in a different matter.............one which I'm sure you will agree if followed with strong discipline can be a method to show longterm results which are positive.

Yes, i understand your postion that you are attacking in a different manner, I was just wondering why? Why do you refuse to lay more than 3.5 in the NFL? Do you not want to share your reason?

You are throwing away about 30% of the sides before giving them any look each week.

Hitman26 · Oct 30, 2006

And furthermore, why is it a "golden rule" to never lay more than 3 in the NFL? Is that your golden rule that you invented, or is it common among "sharps" and that is how it got it's name.

Did you invent this strategy Fishy, or did you learn it from someone else?

WVU · Oct 30, 2006

if you never lay more than 3 then you are missing out on too many good bets. There is a much greater chance for the line to move in your favor the larger the point spread is.