Yeah Pinnacle isn't even offering anything other than 08 stuff...when i say Tester is a lock, RNC has essentially pulled out of there....
Man I wonder if Pinnacle will do any individual races, all i saw there was control of the house/senate
My Line is Republicans for control of the Senate should be -450/500
Dems for House should be about the same.
Man I wonder if Pinnacle will do any individual races, all i saw there was control of the house/senate
My Line is Republicans for control of the Senate should be -450/500
Dems for House should be about the same.
Trade Sports not only has who will take the House and Senate but you can bet on plus 15 seats for Dems all the way up to plus 30 seats in the House race. Pinny has shown no gumption when it comes to this bet, on one day off the next. Trade Sports is not an advertisor here, but I would play this bet with an advertisor had they had these political plays up.
Not much liquidity on certain bets but at times you can get down all you want. House has been hovering at -200 for quite awhile but today it seems to be in the -220 range. There is a fella in the poli forum Joe Contrarian who insists the Republicans are gonna retain control. Very Limbaughish to say the least.
i just don't see how they keep control...way too many seats have come into play that R's have put $$ to hold seats that they didn't even think they would have to 3 months ago.
I think Dems fall shorts in the Senate...but VA will come out with a poll tomorrow showing Webb leading which may shift the odds a bit. If Dems take this then they have to split Tenn/Missouri
I think Dems fall shorts in the Senate...but VA will come out with a poll tomorrow showing Webb leading which may shift the odds a bit. If Dems take this then they have to split Tenn/Missouri
The Wave is Getting Bigger
"With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating," says the Cook Political Report. "Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely."
"If independents vote in fairly low numbers, as is customary in midterm elections, losses in the House will be on the lower end of that range. But if they turn out at a higher than normal level, their strong preference for Democrats in most races would likely push the GOP House losses to or above the upper levels."
"The dynamics we are seeing this year are eerily similar to those in 1994. The President and party are different, so are the issues, but the dynamics are comparable."
Digg This! | Related News
Sixty New House Polls
The latest Majority Watch polls are out for 60 competitive House seats and show Democrats convincingly taking over the House of Representatives.
The interactive maps are a fun way to look at them all.
"With the election just eight days away, there are no signs that this wave is abating," says the Cook Political Report. "Barring a dramatic event, we are looking at the prospect of GOP losses in the House of at least 20 to 35 seats, possibly more, and at least four in the Senate, with five or six most likely."
"If independents vote in fairly low numbers, as is customary in midterm elections, losses in the House will be on the lower end of that range. But if they turn out at a higher than normal level, their strong preference for Democrats in most races would likely push the GOP House losses to or above the upper levels."
"The dynamics we are seeing this year are eerily similar to those in 1994. The President and party are different, so are the issues, but the dynamics are comparable."
Digg This! | Related News
Sixty New House Polls
The latest Majority Watch polls are out for 60 competitive House seats and show Democrats convincingly taking over the House of Representatives.
The interactive maps are a fun way to look at them all.
Iowa election markets are the best way to get a good view on realistic odds. They involve people who normally don't bet and have them betting on things they know best with a limited amount of funds. There is such an ego with those participants they don't just piss off money like we might on a flyer. They are calling it about a -250 for the Dems to take the House, with the Republicans about -220 to hold or gain in the Senate.
