Anyone know the answer to this question?

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In the NBA, how often do the points matter?

In other words, what percentage of times do the underdogs win straight up, or the favorites win and cover the number?

I know in football, the points only matter in <20% of games, so I'm wondeirng if that holds true through other leagues.

'Cause damn..it seems like half the underdogs that I bet on lose, but cover the number (but I usually take dog moneylines so that doesn't help me).

Any replies are welcome.
 

Rx God
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I can't answer it with like 34.5 %, but I'd guess much higher than NFL. Opening/ closing , what book all matters. A lot of NBA games are lined like 2-7 points, points should matter more.

A guy like Sean1 , could find this out.
 

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Ah, yeah. I guess I should quantify it with that. I guess I'd go with closing numbers (widely available ones, like at Pinny or something).
 

Rx God
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good question for that Brewers7 dude, he can probably answer it, if not I know a few that can answer it, given some time.
 

Rx Wizard
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remember this the value of the half point in NBA is much greater (anywhere between 6-8 cents depending on who you ask) as compared to the value of the half point in football (depends on the number).

Sorry I don't know the specifics but I can tell you from following line movement that getting the best number in hoops is BY FAR the most important thing and way more important than any other sport.
 

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Just wondering because I always seem to be getting my ass handed to me on a losing dog bet more often than not because they lost but covered.

Much, MUCH more than in football.

If what you say about half points is true, perhaps I should be taking the points rather than the moneyline...
 

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