Bad Lines (0-0 +0.00 Units)

rgorr · Nov 9, 2006

There are always bad lines out there for a number of reasons:
public is wrong, momentum, history, etc.

I hav developed a 'system' that exposes these and will post accordingly. This system has fewer plays (1-3 per day tops) and uses a 1,3,5,10 unit rating based on the points of badness from the system.

Here goes:

San Jose over 5.5 -105 5 units for 4.76

Iceman · Nov 9, 2006

bad why (just curious)?

Couldn't every bet everyone makes be considered a bad line or they wouldn't feel they had an edge.

The line is over 5.5 +104 at Pinnacle right now. Good Luck!!!

JudgeWapner · Nov 9, 2006

Okay, I'm interested.

rgorr · Nov 9, 2006

some lines are more out of whack it seems, and then when I follow them up with research, it sometimes makes sense to bet them if the points add up

I have been mock betting since the end of August and have had success. Now for the real test.

rgorr · Nov 9, 2006

Mostly hockey and football research and a focus on a few teams only in pro baskets

Iceman · Nov 9, 2006

so these are your plays you handicapped?

newton0038 · Nov 9, 2006

rgorr said:
There are always bad lines out there for a number of reasons:
public is wrong, momentum, history, etc.

I hav developed a 'system' that exposes these and will post accordingly. This system has fewer plays (1-3 per day tops) and uses a 1,3,5,10 unit rating based on the points of badness uppy:from the system.

Here goes:

San Jose over 5.5 -105 5 units for 4.76

Get er Done!

Paterno · Nov 9, 2006

Is this thread a joke? Journey-Is this you?

Journeyman · Nov 9, 2006

Paterno said:
Is this thread a joke? Journey-Is this you?

Why would it be me? I don't think it is me... :suomi:

bdgear · Nov 9, 2006

rgorr said:
There are always bad lines out there for a number of reasons:
public is wrong, momentum, history, etc.

I hav developed a 'system' that exposes these and will post accordingly. This system has fewer plays (1-3 per day tops) and uses a 1,3,5,10 unit rating based on the points of badness from the system.

Here goes:

San Jose over 5.5 -105 5 units for 4.76

4-1 after 1st :missingte

syddiggers · Nov 9, 2006

Are you talking bad lines i.e totals/sides,etc or bad prices? You claim that the San Jose game was a bad line ( I agree the total should have at least been 6, you can check my play posted in the hockey forum ) but you took a terrible price -105 when you could have got +104 at Pinny all night.

rgorr · Nov 9, 2006

At present I don't play at Pinny, but only at Bet365 and BetCris. -105 was the best price.

I search for bad lines, ie tonight that 5.5 was too low for these teams. I handicap each game before I look at the lines then compare these to the betting lines. Then my research begins (momentums of the teams coming in, history of this matchup, goaltenders, etc). I also look at the prices. The +105 or -105 made little difference tonight and in general, on the total plays is somewhat irrelevant (but, I know adds up in the long run). If Pinny continues to offer the better price, I wll load there as I am aware that Bet365 has some bad prices.

I also do look if my plays are matched by proven winning handicappers or handicappers that may be hot at the time. These all add points to the situation.

rgorr · Nov 9, 2006

Bad Lines 1-0 +4.76

See ya tomorrow.

Studying the following:
NHL: Nashville, Ottawa
NBA: Charlotte, Boston, Knicks

syddiggers · Nov 9, 2006

Fair enough. I agreed with you on the San Jose game and made it my only play of the day. There was no way that line should have been below 6, and it definitely shouldnt have been plus juice on the OVER throughout the night. If you have the patience you can find bad totals in the NHL, but patience and discipline are the key ( as with all betting ).

Good luck.

rgorr · Nov 10, 2006

Thanks, Syd.

Over/under trends are very beatable in the NHL. Other factors include powerplay trends of teams (hot or cold) and checking the starting goalie.

BAGIANT · Nov 10, 2006

Forget about his plays! Miami is the best play on the board this week. EVERYONE will be on KC!!

Iceman · Nov 10, 2006

stuckinvegas said:
Forget about his plays! Miami is the best play on the board this week. EVERYONE will be on KC!!

one of my best plays also but I think alot of people will like Miami.

BAGIANT · Nov 10, 2006

I seriously doubt that Miami will be a play! The WORLD will be on the Chiefs!

nhoj · Nov 10, 2006

Once again there is no bad lines!!!! There is a such thing as a bad side.
Ex. Louieville -6 not a bad line if you took Ruthgers. I love it when someone tells me "Man my book is screwing me they give me all bad lines." But if you were to take the other side the book would be giving you a free point. So where does a bad line come into play? BAD SIDES

Dr.Knowitall · Nov 10, 2006

Bad lines happen before the games and bad sides happen after the games are over.

Bad Lines (0-0 +0.00 Units)

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