What do you consider more impressive- % of bettors on one side or % of money on side?

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Rx Wizard
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when looking at line movement does big money talk or does a hig percentage of bettors on one side mean more.
 

head turd in the outhouse
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Money talks and bullshit walks, as is life. When looking at the % it is difficult not to go against the large # of public bettors when the circumstances fall into age old trends that spell doom for the general public. If you talk to some that have taken and graded plays for any amount of time they will verify that by and large the public is usually incorrect in it's selections, be it if the book has many thousands or many hundred this trend seems to always be true.
 

Rx Wizard
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yeah that is kind of my thoughts but was thinking last nite on how they say the more people involved the better the answer. They say on the "Who Wants to Be a Millionaire" game the ask the crowd segment is by far your best chance.

But then again how many pepole know a whole lot abut Alaska Fairbanks hoops team, probably feel more comfortable about 1 guy who with a load of cash and a strong opinion on them than a majority of degenerates.
 

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For a contrarian bettor such as myself, I look at the TOTAL bets and not the money.............and go opposite.
 

head turd in the outhouse
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Fishhead said:
For a contrarian bettor such as myself, I look at the TOTAL bets and not the money.............and go opposite.

I agree 100% and if you look at a few of the guys here like bluemyboy, don dollars and others they follow this same philosophy, it has payed off for me over the years and i expect it will continue. Last year in the NFL we took an ass whiping but things have turned for us this year.:toast:
 

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teazeman said:
I agree 100% and if you look at a few of the guys here like bluemyboy, don dollars and others they follow this same philosophy, it has payed off for me over the years and i expect it will continue. Last year in the NFL we took an ass whiping but things have turned for us this year.:toast:


Very hard to ever go broke following this.............and in fact, one will DEFINTELY profit from it.

Been doing this for years and years, and believe me, it will provide one with a TON more winners than losers.

Couple this with getting the very best line on a game and you will be well on your way to having a very nice INVESTMENT STRATEGY over the coming years that will return a very nice APR.


:103631605
 

Rx Wizard
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Fishhead said:
Very hard to ever go broke following this.............and in fact, one will DEFINTELY profit from it.

Been doing this for years and years, and believe me, it will provide one with a TON more winners than losers.

Couple this with getting the very best line on a game and you will be well on your way to having a very nice INVESTMENT STRATEGY over the coming years that will return a very nice APR.


:103631605

I would say this works better on the "High Profile" sports or games.
 

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Iceman said:
I would say this works better on the "High Profile" sports or games.


WITHOUT QUESTION!!!

In fact, would not consider this for the lesser wagered sports...........

NASCAR
TENNIS
GOLF
ETC
ETC

Why?

A higher percentage of individuals that wager on these sports are just generally sharper and right more often.

In fact, would be inclined to actually go with the move more than not.........but usually just shy away if I missed the best number.

The CONTRARIAN theory has worked best for me over the years in the NFL and NBA..........and to a lesser degree, CFB.
 

head turd in the outhouse
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Fishhead said:
WITHOUT QUESTION!!!

In fact, would not consider this for the lesser wagered sports...........

NASCAR
TENNIS
GOLF
ETC
ETC

Why?

A higher percentage of individuals that wager on these sports are just generally sharper and right more often.

this should be photocopied and put into everyones "gambling for dummies" book as it will hold true for many years to come.
 

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I have always wondered about bet tracking numbers,
My only question is how do we know the numbers they are reporting are accurate?
 

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billhill999 said:
I have always wondered about bet tracking numbers,
My only question is how do we know the numbers they are reporting are accurate?


When you go to a source, like wagerline for example, if a team is being shown getting over 70% of the action with a high volume of votes, one can be fairly certain that is a public wagered team.

Plus, with experience one will easily be able to spot these teams.
 

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