Thought I would share some basic things I have noticed in the NBA. I was going to try and middle alot of NBA sides this year as that was my plan for the season but it has taken a back seat to plan #2 as it just seems like the oppurtunites aren't there like I orginially thought.
First off let me start by saying that I am not winning or losing much but think I am on the cusp of putting it all together and just wanted to toss out some things to talk about. I have been watching line movement in NBA like a hawk the past week and sides just don't move much .The syndicates either are few and far between or the books just don't respect them.
The sides are very very solid(IMO) and almost impossibile to have an edge handicapping. The numbers don't move that much (unless injury), it's sort of a slow and steady process. I think you if you can SQUEEZE an extra point to point and a half off the numbers you will be a long term winner, peorid.
This is what I have resorted to doing with NBA sides, is throwing handicapping out the window (unless their is a situational spot like what Tatehill does or sometimes I see a game that sticks out) as the line is dead on, so by monitoring NBA sides all day I am jumping on numbers that seem to SLOWLY move away from the opener and try to CATCH them at their apex before they go back towards the opening number. Kind of a judgement call on my part but based quite a bit on feel. No better feeling when you bet a game and know towards the end you most likely have the best number all day. Getting the best number, though important in all sports as ULTRA important with NBA sides. It means almost everything.
Totlas are a different story. The 1st line move on gameday seems to be the right one and the game continues to move up till tipoff. I think (though I haven't spent alot of time with them) you can take decent leads and get 3 point middles on these and stay HEAVY on bad number and do OK on them.
Middling NBA games seems best with injury info as their seems to be overreation on line movement based on the fact their is only 5 guys on a side so obviously a star player can cause a big line move. Middling NBA halves seems profitable also and where I have had some success and will continue to catch the slow moving book on them.
Like every sport i have pursued this year this is a work in progress and I am hoping to make a little money for all the time I put into it. But I TRULY love it.
First off let me start by saying that I am not winning or losing much but think I am on the cusp of putting it all together and just wanted to toss out some things to talk about. I have been watching line movement in NBA like a hawk the past week and sides just don't move much .The syndicates either are few and far between or the books just don't respect them.
The sides are very very solid(IMO) and almost impossibile to have an edge handicapping. The numbers don't move that much (unless injury), it's sort of a slow and steady process. I think you if you can SQUEEZE an extra point to point and a half off the numbers you will be a long term winner, peorid.
This is what I have resorted to doing with NBA sides, is throwing handicapping out the window (unless their is a situational spot like what Tatehill does or sometimes I see a game that sticks out) as the line is dead on, so by monitoring NBA sides all day I am jumping on numbers that seem to SLOWLY move away from the opener and try to CATCH them at their apex before they go back towards the opening number. Kind of a judgement call on my part but based quite a bit on feel. No better feeling when you bet a game and know towards the end you most likely have the best number all day. Getting the best number, though important in all sports as ULTRA important with NBA sides. It means almost everything.
Totlas are a different story. The 1st line move on gameday seems to be the right one and the game continues to move up till tipoff. I think (though I haven't spent alot of time with them) you can take decent leads and get 3 point middles on these and stay HEAVY on bad number and do OK on them.
Middling NBA games seems best with injury info as their seems to be overreation on line movement based on the fact their is only 5 guys on a side so obviously a star player can cause a big line move. Middling NBA halves seems profitable also and where I have had some success and will continue to catch the slow moving book on them.
Like every sport i have pursued this year this is a work in progress and I am hoping to make a little money for all the time I put into it. But I TRULY love it.
