So what we going to do with this NFL game tonite?

Iceman · Dec 7, 2006

Pittsburgh at a solid -7 at all books. I think it probably will only go up if it goes anywhere. What are you guys seeing? Possibile scalp out there with -7 -106 at Pinny and squares joining in on Pittsburgh later.

The big movement all week has been on the total. The number has went from a 37 to now down to 33 or so. I think it has come close to flattening out. If anything I think I may bet some over 32.5. Have to beleieve the total won't go much lower but I still will wait. Cleveland with a rookie QN playing but can't be much worse than the production they have got from Frye. Has to be some value on the over if they field is fine, the books couldn't have been that far off the number with there opener this late in the season.

sum it up: May bet Pittsburgh right now -7 -106 and look to buy back for a scalp and then later grab the lowest total I can find and hopefully bet over 32.5 if the weather (which gets WAY too much publicity) cooperates.

joeyfitzclick · Dec 7, 2006

DSI has 7.5

Fishhead · Dec 7, 2006

Have not did a damn thing with the game as of yet.

joeyfitzclick · Dec 7, 2006

www.skybet.com has 7.5 too

Iceman · Dec 7, 2006

joeyfitzclick said:
DSI has 7.5

what is the juice?

I think the number will go up so I am looking for a number better than -7 -106. Hopefully some 7.5's show up later.

bigbet1234 · Dec 7, 2006

Pitt doesn't win this game. Cleveland ML

BB

Iceman · Dec 7, 2006

joeyfitzclick said:
www.skybet.com has 7.5 too

+7.5 -120. Pinny is +7.5 -119. Still a nice find Joey :suomi:

Iceman · Dec 7, 2006

Pulled trigger on -7 -106. Alot of points to give with such a low total. Will buy back +7.5 or +7 +110 hopefully, but will stay heavy with Pittsburgh. I think they win in a blowout. There are live dogs and there are dead dogs and to me this is a dead dog.

mj23 · Dec 7, 2006

Iceman said:
Pulled trigger on -7 -106. Alot of points to give with such a low total. Will buy back +7.5 or +7 +110 hopefully, but will stay heavy with Pittsburgh. I think they win in a blowout. There are live dogs and there are dead dogs and to me this is a dead dog.

DSI is at 7? Ice i have Pitt - 6.5 will probably hedge later 7 could be where this game is at will also take Over.

boatboatboat · Dec 7, 2006

IMO the Browns will cover 7.5. I played that number at Matchbook, at a -117 vig (damn that hurt).

As far as the O/U, we all know that weather is seldom as much of a factor as we make it out to be. IMO the exception to that is wind. You can throw a 20 yard rope in the rain/snow, you can drop a floater into the corner of an endzone for the WR to jump up and snag in the rain/snow..... BUT tonight is going to be 20 degrees, with 30MPH winds, and 2QB's who have both been told all week "just don't turn it over".

If I were a O/U er player, I would lean to the Under.

Dante · Dec 7, 2006

UMMM...maybe just watch it? :icon_conf

nahhhhh what am I thinking

hno: if its there its get bet!

boatboatboat · Dec 7, 2006

wind chill 11.

IMO this game will be played from the 30 to the 30, all night long. With a rock hard ball and 20 mph winds, even FG's will be hard to come by.

royalfan · Dec 7, 2006

Iceman said:
Pulled trigger on -7 -106. Alot of points to give with such a low total. Will buy back +7.5 or +7 +110 hopefully, but will stay heavy with Pittsburgh. I think they win in a blowout. There are live dogs and there are dead dogs and to me this is a dead dog.

Not sure they are capable of blowing anyone out with the state of the wide receiving core.

JudgeWapner · Dec 7, 2006

I liked the under but has moved too far.

mj23 · Dec 7, 2006

Will be betting during commercials i guess at PINNY !

Iceman · Dec 7, 2006

royalfan said:
Not sure they are capable of blowing anyone out with the state of the wide receiving core.

they jusy blew out Tampa Bay 4 days ago. I have lost a pretty penny beting Pittsburgh all year as they statistically looke more like a 7-5, 8-4 team. Maybe last week was the start of something big. Cleveland's offense is putrid.

Iceman · Dec 7, 2006

Judge Wapner said:
I liked the under but has moved too far.

I am so pissed at myself for not seeing that big fat 37 sitting up there and not betting under earlier in the week, espicially with Cleveland's QB situation in already bad offense. You know Pittsburgh will just pound them and run clock.

Fishhead · Dec 7, 2006

Iceman said:
I am so pissed at myself for not seeing that big fat 37 sitting up there and not betting under earlier in the week, espicially with Cleveland's QB situation in already bad offense. You know Pittsburgh will just pound them and run clock.

You and me both.

STUPID STUPID STUPID

:nopityA:

joeyfitzclick · Dec 7, 2006

My local just called with the lines for tonight. I have been rewarded for NEVER BETTING CLEVELAND in my life.

Cleveland + 7.5 for the max.

CalvinTy · Dec 7, 2006

mj 23 said:
Will be betting during commercials i guess at PINNY !

Yes, I saw that description "During Commercials Only", too, LOL.

I guess they got burnt enough with sharps getting the hang of how each drive was heading (i.e. if it was a 3rd down and 12 for the bad dog who's losing by 3, the line still shows favorite at -3 -120 instead of adjusting to -3 -150 because the favorite is very likely to get the ball on next play via punt).....

But still lot of value betting during commercials anyway, I predict.

* CalvinTy