Betting 'Extreme' Totals

It seems like in all sports, there is some sort of limit as to how high or low the total can go, no matter the matchup, before people will stop betting the extreme side. For example, in college basketball, it seems like it would be a lot harder to force a 110 down one point than it would be to do the same with a 154.

In Saturday's Princeton game, the total was 105 (perhaps the lowest of any game all season so far), and I had the game capped at 98'. I bet the under, seeing 7 points as a lot of value no matter what the line was. Now that I look at this, this may be an odd example, because the line actually dropped to 103' by tip-off. I'm just wondering if anyone has looked into situations like this at all.

I'm bringing this up here because of a system "alldogs" had heard of and brought up in the CBB forum last week: (1) Take the under whenever the total opens at 115 or below; (2) Take the over whenever the total opens at 165 or over. He was wondering if there was any merit to it, and it certainly got me thinking.

These examples are all for college basketball, but I'm sure this can be applied to any sport. Any thoughts? Thanks in advance.

I'll tell you this. From experience, I never bet over in very low NCAA hoops totals.

Thanks for the response Omni

bump for the early crew
I can't believe more cappers haven't ever looked into this...:howdy:

Interesting angle here. Hmm, I don't recall betting any CBB totals under 110 in ages... but yes, I have been wondering about "extreme limits" very, very recently for NBA. In NBA, we don't see O/U opening at 170 or at 230. I actually truly thought the DEN/WAS game was going to be very close to 230 but was not surprised when the books only pegged 220.5 to 222. Denver gave up in the 4th quarter, it appeared, so the game stayed Under but if it was a closer game, who knows?

Anyway, babbling here.... but extreme totals always fascinated me because there have been many situations where we know, in baseball, the ace pitchers against bad hitting teams would make the game go 1-0 or 2-1 but you NEVER see a total of 6 runs, the lowest would be 7 (but once, I did see a 6.5 runs line). The books just can't bring themselves to post a total of 5 runs, of course, due to needing so-called balanced action.

Just like hockey... while I don't follow hockey much, but seems like ALL games' lines fall into 5, 5.5, 6, 6.5 total goals when there are plenty of games of 2-0, 2-1, 1-0 or the other side of the coin, 5-4, 6-2?

This is interesting to see if some 'cappers have DONE research already on this...

* CalvinTy

Goodcall,
You see a lot of these posts on here which are basically lazy ways to try to win Money and long term they all lose. It doesnt matter how you get to a bet, if you dont understand the value of it you are doomed and like many here, play into a Books price with no consideration. Many of these Topics are in vogue and it appears one is smart in thinking that way but there is no easy money and more time spent on the basics of betting and Bookmaking will pay better dividends. Think of yourself in front of a Jury who has to make a judgement on your insanity, what will they think of your statement, sound logic will always go further than wishful fancies.

I completely realize there's no "get rich quick" system, at least none as simple as this. I was just wondering if there was the same sort of edge with this as there is with betting, say, home underdogs.

Thanks for the insights guys...they're much appreciated