Can you lay double digits in the NBA

assassin · Dec 15, 2006

Sixers stink and are in disaray. They will stay that way until the Iverson trade is complete.
Still, can you lay 14.5 points (or over +10 in general) and make money in the long term.

Thanks guys

Fishhead · Dec 15, 2006

Pick your spots, of course.

You have a better chance of laying double digits in the NBA than in the NFL and coming away a winner.

ronaldn · Dec 15, 2006

So far this year in the NBA, home favorites of 10.5 or greater are 4 - 11 ATS.

trytrytry · Dec 15, 2006

great stat ronaldn! thanks. many dogs of 10.5 or more have won I think 6

Journeyman · Dec 15, 2006

I read this about 7 years ago, I don't know how relaible it was but the person who wrote it was a good source...double digit dogs had covered around 60% over that previous ten year period.

Arodd · Dec 15, 2006

ronaldn said:
So far this year in the NBA, home favorites of 10.5 or greater are 4 - 11 ATS.

where'd you get this info big man?

ElJefe · Dec 15, 2006

Like Fish says, it is about picking spots.

TKE683 · Dec 15, 2006

I never do, then i did the other night with the Suns and they just quit and the fourth and a 20+ lead lead to an ATS loss.

PanchoSanza · Dec 15, 2006

Miami and Golden State look like nice plays tonight.:toast:

ElJefe · Dec 15, 2006

TKE683 said:
I never do, then i did the other night with the Suns and they just quit and the fourth and a 20+ lead lead to an ATS loss.

I remember that one - very tough beat for Suns backers. Suns had them buried big time early in that one.

PO69 · Dec 15, 2006

I NEVER bet the chalk at above -7 or so. It is just IDIOTIC to take ANY favorite at over -5 or so if you have other games to choose from. Guys talk about money management all of the time. Well this is the same as good money management, there HAS to better options each night than favorites above -6 or so

quantumleap · Dec 15, 2006

playersonly69 said:
I NEVER bet the chalk at above -7 or so. It is just IDIOTIC to take ANY favorite at over -5 or so if you have other games to choose from. Guys talk about money management all of the time. Well this is the same as good money management, there HAS to better options each night than favorites above -6 or so

Is there NEVER a team that does well over -5 or are there NEVER any situations where this might be advantageous?

PO69 · Dec 15, 2006

I was just trying to say that there would be MUCH better options each night than to bet high chalk favs. The favorite team doesnt give a damn about the spread.

quantumleap · Dec 15, 2006

playersonly69 said:
I was just trying to say that there would be MUCH better options each night than to bet high chalk favs. The favorite team doesnt give a damn about the spread.

My point was that just because a team has a high spread doesn't mean they won't cover it easily (even if they don't care about the spread). Take a look at some large favorites this year and see how some have beat the spread by a lot of points.

To say that just because there is a large spread the bet isn't worth taking is not accurate. There are many good bets on teams with large spreads. In fact the books want you to think this so they can jack the spread up a few points and scare you away from a good bet.

ronaldn · Dec 15, 2006

Dsethi said:
where'd you get this info big man?

I have my own Basic program that everyday I enter the scores, spreads etc and have it programed to tell me answers like that and many other things. I have been doing this for over 20 yrs. I am not going to run all those programs over again but i can tell you that betting on DD dogs has had a slight winning percentage over the years.

assassin · Dec 15, 2006

thanks for the info

i'll play all 3 +10 dogs tonight

Happy Hanuka

LLXC13 · Dec 16, 2006

I have almost never layed 10 pts. I don't have the balls too =\

Antonioli · Dec 16, 2006

since 2005

Line=10+ dog
SU: 20-125 13.8%
ATS: 77-66-2 53.8%

assassin · Dec 16, 2006

Antonioli said:
since 2005

Line=10+ dog
SU: 20-125 13.8%
ATS: 77-66-2 53.8%

thanks for the research.

2 cashed (2-0), but miami wager was made too late.

I also went 3-2 on dogs +7 to +9.5. nt sure if you have stats on this.

Can you lay double digits in the NBA

It's like sum fucking Beckett play that we're rehe

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It's like sum fucking Beckett play that we're rehe

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