Fade or play?

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Interesting concept here, wondering what others would do. An article with 5 selections on another site has gone 0-4 so far, with a couple of the picks being a complete 180 from actual results (ie. he picked Rangers to win 5-2 while they are losing 8-2). So for the final game on the slate, would you all be inclined to back the play figuring regression to the mean or bet against it figuring it just isn't his day? Just looking for opinions on how others would proceed.
 

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IMO its just as hard to go 0-5 as it is to go 5-0, so I would play his final play.
 

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Either way, it's not as though the results of his last 4 selections are going to help determine the outcome of his fifth selection.

So you can't say 'it's hard to go 0-5. Therefore, go with his last pick."
 

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ensign_lee said:
Either way, it's not as though the results of his last 4 selections are going to help determine the outcome of his fifth selection.

So you can't say 'it's hard to go 0-5. Therefore, go with his last pick."

thats true.
 

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ensign_lee said:
Either way, it's not as though the results of his last 4 selections are going to help determine the outcome of his fifth selection.

So you can't say 'it's hard to go 0-5. Therefore, go with his last pick."

Of course not. Just was wondering how people looked at hot and cold streaks. I wasn't concerned about how they came up with the plays or even what they thought of the person's skills. Purely just trying to find insights for how others look at hot/cold streaks and such.
 

ball dont lie
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Would pass.

If poster has five plays, would have probably faded all 5, but to just fade one or some of the card screws things up.

Instead of going 4-1 at worst or 5-0 at best, now youre looking at possibly going 0-1 and losing money when you could have been in the profits automatically fading the entire card from the get.

Then if it hits, youre 1-0, when you could have been 4-1.
 

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