The most Incredible NFC stats you will see in your life. ODDS 1 BILLION TO 1.

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No team has ever repeated as division champs in the South

No team since it's inception has had back to back winning seasons.

Worst to first has happened every year in the NFC South. Whoever comes in 4th wins it the following year.

2002 - 1st place Bucs, 4th place Panthers
2003 - 1st place Panthers, 4th place Falcons
2004 - 1st place Falcons, 4th place Bucs
2005 - 1st place Bucs, 4th place Saints
2006 - 1st place Saints, 4th place Bucs

Plus, the division has been represented in the NFC Championship since it's inception.

I love the South!

Whats the odds of this a billion to 1?
 
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Wow that is amazing.. So do we expect the Saints to regress from here next season? Teams probably won't be overlooking them as much.

If the Saints draft a good defensive player that could really help their chances to keep this going.. Offense is set..
 

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Assuming the fourth placed team the previous season was the biggest odds in the NFC South the next season, you could probably expect them to be around 10-1 for the division (Saints were 7-1 this season).

So 10-1 five times gets you 100,000-1.

In fact some of those teams were probably shorter odds than 10-1 because of personnel changes etc etc. If they were all 7-1 then it's only accumulative odds of 16,807-1.

So while it's unlikely, it's not 1 billion to 1.
 

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The league strives for this to happen, giving the worst teams the easiest schedule the following year, and the best teams the hardest schedule. It's almost scripted to happen like this.
 

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It may not be a billion to 1, but it certainly is in the millions.
 

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CHOPTALK said:
It may not be a billion to 1, but it certainly is in the millions.

post 5 seems accurate to me.

might seem like a million though
 

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Whats the odds of this trend repeating next year?

Now thats something that is about 1 BILLION to 1.
 

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I'd say its as likely to happen as not. Look at the Super Bowl curse. Seahawks are going to make the playoffs only because the NFC West is pathetic beyond all explanation. Still pretty much holds, Super Bowl loser becomes crap next season and is often replaced by a team which struggled the year before. We all still get good odds on these things because bettors have zero imagination. They remember how good and bad teams looked on TV and then can't imagine a different scenario, but year after year it happens.
 

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What non-playoff teams could be very good next year? Here are my guesses:

NFC West - Cardinals with a rookie QB gets a full offseason to jell with amazing crew of skill players. OL can only get better. Defense hasn't been too horrible. This team could easily be next year's Saints.
NFC South - Bucs, as the Panthers and Falcons look shot for next year and the Saints could come back down some as the win one for NO theme wears thin. Rookie QB getting reps and comfort as well and skill position players aren't that bad. Defense does need to get better.
NFC North - Packers with all the crap they have dealt with in injuries and turning over the roster could pay off. They might do enough to get Favre to come back for one more shot.
NFC East - Redskins in another spot where the QB gets some reps and comfort. Defense shows signs of strength along with breakdowns. Owner and GM won't sit on the sidelines, they want to be competitive.
AFC West - Chiefs might improve, but tough to get to the top. Chargers and Broncos are going to be hard to beat next year with most key players locked up and only a few holes on each to improve upon.
AFC South - Titans, but not saying much though they already look like they can contend. Jeff Fisher is a miracle worker.
AFC North - Steelers, just need to control the turnovers and upgrade the defense a bit and they can return to elite status. Signs of it already with their recent form.
AFC East - Bills show good form once in awhile, but they really need a solid QB to put it all together. Defense a bit too inconsistent as well, maybe just a couple of pieces away.

It may seem crazy to ever put faith in the Cardinals, but no one will get on their bandwagon after this year's disappointment. However they look like a can't miss opportunity next year with a real home-field and such a weak division. I'll be buying some futures as soon as they go up to win the NFC.
 

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And the trend last for one more year.
 

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If that was 1 billion, I have something worth 2.43 billion.

This is the first time EVER that neither the #1 seed, the #2 seed will be in the Conference Championship game.
 

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Assuming the fourth placed team the previous season was the biggest odds in the NFC South the next season, you could probably expect them to be around 10-1 for the division (Saints were 7-1 this season).

So 10-1 five times gets you 100,000-1.

In fact some of those teams were probably shorter odds than 10-1 because of personnel changes etc etc. If they were all 7-1 then it's only accumulative odds of 16,807-1.

So while it's unlikely, it's not 1 billion to 1.


you forgot those two:

1) No team since it's inception has had back to back winning seasons.
2) the division has been represented in the NFC Championship since it's inception.
 

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