Like the Mia/LAL game line to move to the Lakers being the fav

randyrohm · Dec 25, 2006

Don't take very many leads, but i think LAL should be the small chalk here. Just took LAL +1 for a nickel.

BronxCheer+ · Dec 25, 2006

took them plus one, now the line is -1 and -1.5 on the Lakers, I like them too but maybe cause I'm a Laker fan, lets hope I'm right that they will win, Kobe plays better when he's the main guy on the court

Doug · Dec 25, 2006

Bad spot to middle. 1 is a bad NBA number. +1 on both teams on a pick'em game is not that good.

BronxCheer+ · Dec 25, 2006

I'm not looking to middle, just to win baby :103631605

Fishhead · Dec 25, 2006

Doug, one doesn't need to hit the middle perse to show a profit if one plays a scalp/middle/side.

WIN-WIN-WIN BIG position.

Doug · Dec 25, 2006

Fishhead said:
Doug, one doesn't need to hit the middle perse to show a profit if one plays a scalp/middle/side.

WIN-WIN-WIN BIG position.

Absolutly correct. If you get the move right, you can do the ML's at an exchange and make money. No lead that moves should fail.

My point is it's a bad middle. I don't have exact data handy, but if trying a game like this ( near pick) I'd do ML not points. 1 in NBA is sort of like 5 in NFL, it very rarely matters.

I'm pretty sure +1 on both teams in a pick game is a loser at -110.

dr03 · Dec 25, 2006

i played a prop, Dwayne Wade Under 4.5 Rebounds +114 at pinny, thats it though ii think for this.

BronxCheer+ · Dec 25, 2006

what I don't understand is if Shak aint playing why is the line at -1? and not any higher on the Lakers?

according to PR (poweratings)

<CENTER><TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=6 width="70%" border=1><TBODY><TR><TD width="100%" bgColor=#fdd8c1>The Hoops Index for the NBA is designed to forecast the winners of NBA basketball games. Historically, the Hoops Index has picked nearly 70% of the straight-up winners. Included here are the current forecast, recent results, team standings and our computer rankings and ratings. Ratings are now being updated on a daily basis. *Home Team Advantage is estimated to be +4 points. In games rated "even", our slight favorite is listed first. The +/- listings are for straight-up right and wrong only. We do not track pointspreads in the NBA!</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></CENTER>

TODAY'S FORECAST
<CENTER><TABLE width="80%" border=2><TBODY><TR><TD align=middle bgColor=#000080 colSpan=3>Monday, December 25, 2006</TD></TR><TR><TD align=middle width="9%" bgColor=#000000>MST</TD><TD align=middle width="6%" bgColor=#000000>TV</TD><TD align=middle width="65%" bgColor=#000000>Hoops Index Forecast</TD></TR><TR><TD align=right width="9%" bgColor=#c0c0c0>12:35p</TD><TD align=middle width="6%" bgColor=#000000>ABC</TD><TD align=middle width="65%" bgColor=#ffff80>Miami* 2½ over L.A. Lakers</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></CENTER>

PAST RESULTS

fivestarjake · Dec 25, 2006

this juice line is all over the place at pinny. i got miami at -1 +107 but its been jumping around all morning. both are currently at -105 with lakers now at -1.

Fishhead · Dec 25, 2006

Doug said:
Absolutly correct. If you get the move right, you can do the ML's at an exchange and make money. No lead that moves should fail.

My point is it's a bad middle. I don't have exact data handy, but if trying a game like this ( near pick) I'd do ML not points. 1 in NBA is sort of like 5 in NFL, it very rarely matters.

I'm pretty sure +1 on both teams in a pick game is a loser at -110.

CORRECT on both statements.

ONE is a very low key number in the NBA.............but as you stated, no lead that moves is not money made on paper if one is half-ass sharp.

Fishhead · Dec 25, 2006

Where do we go from here.....

LA -1 EVEN
MIA +1 -102

Doug · Dec 25, 2006

No bet yet for me, lean to LAL, maybe a prop on Kobe having a good game ?

I wouldn't even be in love with both teams at +1.5 -110 in a pick game, but that probably wins longterm.

<TABLE cellSpacing=2 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=wht-title bgColor=#999999><TD colSpan=3>Maximum Wager: </TD><TD class=wht-title noWrap>30000.00 USD</TD><TD class=wht-title noWrap>10000.00 USD</TD><TD class=wht-title noWrap>10000.00 USD</TD><TD></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Mon 12/25</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>501</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Los Angeles Lakers</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap><INPUT class=main_body_blk maxLength=7 size=6 name=S1_93775071_0>

-108<INPUT type=hidden value=-108 name=selM1_93775071_0> </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap><INPUT class=main_body_blk maxLength=7 size=6 name=T1_93775071_0>

<SELECT class=main_body_blk name=selT1_93775071_0> <OPTION value=" 199 -120_0">OVER 199 -120<OPTION value=" 199.5 -114_1">OVER 199.5 -114<OPTION value=" 200 -108_2">OVER 200 -108<OPTION value=" 200.5 -102_3" selected>OVER 200.5 -102<OPTION value=" 201 +102_4">OVER 201 +102<OPTION value=" 201.5 +106_5">OVER 201.5 +106<OPTION value=" 202 +110_6">OVER 202 +110</OPTION></SELECT> <TD vAlign=center rowSpan=2></TD></TR><TR bgColor=#eeeeee><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>11:30 AM</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>502</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Miami Heat</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap><INPUT class=main_body_blk maxLength=7 size=6 name=S2_93775071_0>

-102<INPUT type=hidden value=-102 name=selM2_93775071_0> </TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap><INPUT class=main_body_blk maxLength=7 size=6 name=T2_93775071_0>

<SELECT class=main_body_blk name=selT2_93775071_0> <OPTION value=" 199 +105_0">UNDER 199 +105<OPTION value=" 199.5 -100_1">UNDER 199.5 -100<OPTION value=" 200 -104_2">UNDER 200 -104<OPTION value=" 200.5 -108_3" selected>UNDER 200.5 -108<OPTION value=" 201 -114_4">UNDER 201 -114<OPTION value=" 201.5 -120_5">UNDER 201.5 -120<OPTION value=" 202 -126_6">UNDER 202 -126</OPTION></SELECT> </TD><TR bgColor=#d0d0d0><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Mon 12/25</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>998</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Live betting LA/MIA</TD><TD class=main_body_blk noWrap>Offline</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

BronxCheer+ · Dec 25, 2006

DOUG I see you get live betting lines!! to me thats the best edge a player can have, most of the line managers dont know how to deal it, just a heads up

fivestarjake · Dec 25, 2006

Fishhead said:
Where do we go from here.....

LA -1 EVEN
MIA +1 -102

wheres that from fish. as soon as i went back to pinny it went from both to -105 to the lakers -102 and heat -108. is this standard to move juice constant like this?

Fishhead · Dec 25, 2006

fivestarjake said:
wheres that from fish. as soon as i went back to pinny it went from both to -105 to the lakers -102 and heat -108. is this standard to move juice constant like this?

Matchbook

Yes, VERY common for this to occur.

lapdance · Dec 25, 2006

under

Doug · Dec 25, 2006

angel63 said:
DOUG I see you get live betting lines!! to me thats the best edge a player can have, most of the line managers dont know how to deal it, just a heads up

Pinny does it just for me, so I can lose more money there ! I don't do very much live, never at Pinny. I try to avoid betting at Pinny, but it's impossible, they simply have the best line too often to not use them, especially in hockey. Hockey is basically Pinny or Mansion, forget even Matchbook ( no puckline).

BronxCheer+ · Dec 25, 2006

try IAS

BronxCheer+ · Dec 25, 2006

Pinnacle has very sharp lines, hard to beat

Fishhead · Dec 25, 2006

Ok, just layed -1 EVEN for a few dimes........and the ML @ -106 for a few dimes..............will see if i guessed right.

Like the Mia/LAL game line to move to the Lakers being the fav

New member

Rx Senior

Rx God

Rx Senior

Active member

Rx God

New member

Rx Senior

New member

Active member

Active member

Rx God

Rx Senior

New member

Active member

New member

Rx God

Rx Senior

Rx Senior

Active member

Forum statistics

Share this page