Do any of you guys bet the NBA strictly on capping the schedule....

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Rx Wizard
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Thinking about going this route the rest of the year and just betting NBA on schedules as I don't think the public nor the linesmaker puts enough thought into the schedules of teams (3 games in 4 nites, back to back, teams with rest, etc...). Think there is a huge edge in this form of capping NBA.

Was wondering if anyone else does this and if so , how do they go about it?

I bought a book from GBC called "The Complete Guide to the 2006-2007 NBA Schedule" and find the info priceless,
 

Rx Wizard
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accidently hit the button twice. Mods you can throw this one out.
 

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Handicapper
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reduced juice will help you lose less this way but that type of formula betting is never a good idea long term.
 

Waz

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Ice-

I still think this system will force you into the betting the wrong side at least 25% of the time. I think the schedule is definitely underrated as far as lines are concerned, but not completely forgotten. That being said, I'm not saying you can't make money with this strategy, but you won't have a huge EV.
 

A Separate Reality
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????

EVERYONE that follows the NBA is aware of the schedule and team travel backtoback, 4th game in 6 nights etc. I'm surprised at your question. Sounds like your just getting started go easy lots of games. The schedule is just one part of the NBA betting puzzle don't neglect the other pieces.

Ironically you might get a few good bets getting a good team playing on a backtoback as the MAN tends to over compensate the line on the rested team in these situations.

Good Luck on your endeavour
 

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Schedule plus that nights matchups. I am in to my underneath players in the NBA whom greatly impact the cover.
 

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Iceman said:
Thinking about going this route the rest of the year and just betting NBA on schedules as I don't think the public nor the linesmaker puts enough thought into the schedules of teams (3 games in 4 nites, back to back, teams with rest, etc...). Think there is a huge edge in this form of capping NBA.

Was wondering if anyone else does this and if so , how do they go about it?

I bought a book from GBC called "The Complete Guide to the 2006-2007 NBA Schedule" and find the info priceless,

YES I Do

IMO its Key

BOL Ice
P.S
Wish you would post more games for us rookies :103631605
 

SSI

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Markie Mark (nhl), martingaling the 3 game road trip..........

its a useful tool but dont fall in love with it........ you saw wash beat phx in phx, the other night..... last leg of road trip........
 

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ICE-when i was attacking the NBA many years ago, schedules were quite possibly the #1 thing I found to be of most value to me.

These days, don't have time to handicap the Association as much as I would like.
 

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I saw a post from another forum a year ago that fading the team thats playing 5 games in 7 nights is almost guaranteed money. Think it hit close to 70% last season. Maybe you can look into that.
 

Rx Wizard
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Hey thanks for all the input. Let me start over by stressing the point I will never take the easy route and just this is who i am betting because they fall into the system. It would be alot more of a thought process with a heavy consideration towards the scheduleing issues.
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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In 2002 I created a base spreadsheet which I still use today.

It breaks down results for each team in a 3x4 slate.

0 days rest
1 day rest
2+ days rest

Then each of those is broken down to reflect

Away following an Away
Home following an Away
Home following a Home
Away following a Home

Most teams play better on 2 days than 1 and 1 day than none.

But that's SU wins.

ATS wins vary by team, as do Totals results

Usually, a team will have three or four spots in the above 12 categories where they play much better than their standard (or worse).

I try to catch a team in a Preferred Spot matched against a team in a Bad Spot.

I've also broken down 3rdin4 nights and 4thin5.

The leaguewide results for those two are pretty stable, but each team varies.

Of interest lately is that a number of slightly below average teams W/L-wise do quite well ATS when playing 3rdin4.

----
Another scheduling role I've started tracking is the "Sandwich" home or away game, which is a single game Home or Away,

Finding some interesting numbers there. For example, Minnesota has been about a 45% winning percentage past three seasons, but are 21-6 in Sandwich Home games during same stretch.

Other categories I've got listed but have not fully researched are

1) Games following a 20+ pt win

San Antonio in this role is 1-17 ATS graded at -9 so tonight I got a pretty easy winner when they were hosting Bucks at -9.5 and their (Spurs) coming off a 35 pt win Saturday night.

2) Games following a 20+ pt loss
3) Games following a Road win in-division

etc
 

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One will lose juice over time playing any set system and that includes this one. You are smarter than that Ice.
 

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