Bowling: The Next 3 Days

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sd2

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Motor City: If I can't come up with all the team nicknames in a conference, I feel good in passing them in a bowl. I know this one is Blue Raiders vs Broncos but I'd likely miss 50-75% of the other team names in both the MAC and Sun Belt. Others who study these leagues will likely have a good handle on this game. Lay it on us.

A modest bowl, the Emerald, for UCLA. And for Fla State, who at Bobby's insistence visited Alcatraz, which one wag then said was a good move for the "Criminoles." Ugh.

In the old (pre BCS) days of Terry Donahue, UCLA would show total on-field disinterest in any bowl game but the Rose. Well, the days of the snooty Bruins are long past, and this is a nice bowl for them. My concern is how "up" they may be, after their huge season-ending win over the Trojans. But emotional condition can also be affecting the coast-to-coast travelling 'Noles, who are quite accustomed to playing in January, not in Frisco in December. Bruins are a moderate bet for me, and I can't quite figure why the number dropped from 4.5 to 3.5, and maybe lower at some shops.

Alabama would have been a max bet for me, in the Independence. But not with a fired head coach, and daddy Don castigating the Bama atlentic department during the Jets/Dollphins game for canning his son. The team is being coacched for the bowl by the D Coordinator, and he and all the other assistants are likely spending as much time sending out their resumes for the next job as devising a game plan. And as Bama continues to court an ostensibly uninterested Nick Saban. What a mess. Pass.

I'm max on Rutgers even laying the TD. Sure, they were disappointed over missing out on a BCS game when losing by 2 pts in OT to W. VA.
But they should be up again, since this old school has never won a bowl game, despite playing in the first ever "modern" game of football - like, 140 years ago. K State is just so-so, and with a rookie head coach.

I would have been at least moderately invested in Cal, in the Holiday in Dago. I switched off to low-mod, when the Golden Bears FB went down in practice and is out for the game, He was the lead blocker for star Cal RB Lynch. I'm also down moderately for the over 52.5.

Clemson is another mod bet for me, declining a bit from mod/heavy after their best cb was arrested and suspended. That's not the best news against an efficient passing team like Kentucky. But I do like that the Tigers are, if I remember rightly, the 4th least penalized team in the land, and only Arkansas and Rutgers allowed fewer sacks. Too bad the corner couldnt have stashed his stash until after the game. (When the cop stopped him for traffic and smelled the smell, he asked if there was marijuana in the car. "No," replied the Tiger cb, "we done smoked it all." And English major, no doubt.)

The Sun should shine on Oregon State, and I have them for my max at -3. I think that may rise by game time. I like teams that surge late season, versus teams that tailspin, like Mizzou did. The Beavers also beat USC, somethng I very much doubt Misssouri could do in five tries on their home field.

I'm very light on Houston in the Liberty. Art Briles has done a great job in his stint here. Spurrier says his team was disinterested last year in their bowl, but that he's corrected that fault. Let's see. Also light on the Over

Purdue/Maryland, tough call for me. Others may have some solid views. I'd lean slightly to the Terps,but think I'll just watch.

And finally, moderate bet on Minnesota. Yep, I know, rank of 115 in pass defense,and not much better in the better guage of pass efficiency defence. Sounds like bleak news vs the gunslinging Red Raiders. But I'll take those points on a team that is Numero Uno in Turnover Margin. They lead the land with +16, to T Tech's +2. And they can also toss the rock themselves, and probalby have a better run game than ttech. The Over looks enticing here as well.

Buena suerte a todos.
 

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you have helped me mucho grande w/horse's...let me return the favor...

I'm on k. st. vs rutger's...ML...no less

not telling you to change your bet...maybe just back up a little...

when cinderella's slipper don't fit...well like any good female...she'll pout and pout...and not give a damn about history!

and many a good football team...even far superior to the knights...has acted like a spoiled B*#$%...for as long as football has been played!

that's all..just my 2 cents
 

sd2

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Always like to hear opinions contrary to my own. We all see things thru our own glass, darkly, to misquote scripture.
,
I'm negative toward the Big 12 this season, and am not on any of their teams. (Tho not betting against all of them either, tho I may take a shot on Boise St) It's not any ingrained bias - last January in the title game I was all over Texas like the proverbial cheap suit.

That took a lot of guts tho to bet K st on the ML. I can't wish you good luck on that game for obvious reasons, but what is your reasoning? This is not your father's Rutgers team! They can, for example, run the rock, and K St sports a # 70 ranking on rush D. Sure, the Big East is not a power conference, but I believe the Big 12 has been down this year

K State did beat Texas. But next game lost to Kansas. By 19 points. In their first game they defeated Div 1-AA Illinois State by only one point.

K state and Rutgers faced one common opponent. K St, at home, lost to Louisville (Big East) by 18 points. Rutgers, also at home, had a narrow 3 pt win over Lville.

Times change, teams change. Years ago, as you know, before Bill Snyder arrived on the scene, K State was the same kind of laughingstock as Rutgers was until last year. Schiano is Rutgers' Snyder.

Still, if I lose this one it's a learning process. I'll try to see where I erred. You learn from losing, not from winning.
 

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it's like your 'B' horse system...strictly situational...really can't explain or won't...lol's

let's just say...k.st. has some mojo in their favor...

yes...big 12 is down and avoiding all their other games.

ps...for what it's worth...other dog I like straight up is Fla...

Don't let me change you bet's...maybe just the size if on the other side!

Looking forward to a few more horse picks in 07...BOL.
 

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oh and by the way...comparing to k.st.'s snyder (of the past)...twice his teams lost big 12 title games and then proceeded to get trashed in rinky dink bowls as DD favs....so look at your OWN analogy!

just a thought.
 

sd2

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sammy the sage said:
oh and by the way...comparing to k.st.'s snyder (of the past)...twice his teams lost big 12 title games and then proceeded to get trashed in rinky dink bowls as DD favs....so look at your OWN analogy!

just a thought.

that's a scary analogy. But K State is like UCLA of old, like Arkansas a while back, like Oregon last year when they were screwed out of a BCS bowl. IE, if they didn't make a major bowl, they didn't bring their A game. I used to stay off K State when they were in a "minor" bowl.

I grant it is possible that the Knights may be pissed that they are not in a BCS bowl, as looked likely right up to that last dropped pass in the end zone. It's another problem with the bowl system, if a team gets a lesser bowl than they expected, or had their hearts set on, their play will often deteriorate. Often not even deliberately. These are teenagers and early 20s kids, emotion is a major factor.

You can scan the local press, too, till you're blue in the face, and not come up with any relevant info - until after the game. Take it from me, a lot of the beat writers for local college teams have an account at the same offshore bookie you do, and they ain't gonna share much of the good stuff they come across. Plus they have a symbiotic relationship with the sport they cover.

But I think Rutgers is hungry for a victory in ANY Bowl game. I think they'll play hard to get it, to be the first Rutgers team to do it.

Btw, this lack of emotion that derives from not being in the "right" bowl was admitted by Oregon coach Belotti last year, when his favored Ducks got beat in a lesser bowl than they deserved to be in. (Or was it the year before? Damn Sometimers, Alzheimers only part of the time.)

It's why I love the NCAA tournament, all the teams are trying hard, even the No-Names against the Dukes and Floridas. Gotta someday get a 1-A playoff.
 

sd2

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sammy the sage said:
it's like your 'B' horse system...strictly situational...really can't explain or won't...lol's

let's just say...k.st. has some mojo in their favor...

yes...big 12 is down and avoiding all their other games.

ps...for what it's worth...other dog I like straight up is Fla...

Don't let me change you bet's...maybe just the size if on the other side!

Looking forward to a few more horse picks in 07...BOL.

I'm also on Florida, or will be. ATS not ML. Waitin' for the line to hopefully move closer to 9, or to 9
 

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