MMA (K1/UFC/Pride/IFL) 12/29-31/06

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sen

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Jul 7, 2005
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5u
* Parlay - 5dimes
UFC 66 - Forrest Griffin -330 Forrest should get any close decisions.
UFC 66 - Gonzaga -300 Gonzaga world champ in BJJ against a wrestler in Marrero.
Pride Shockwave - Gomi -220 Gomi better standup, don't see Ishida troubling him much. He might get control from top, but that's about it imo.

* Pride Shockwave - Minowa over Tamura -120 - Minowa fighting someone his size for once. I think judges will favor Minowa in pride.

*Pride Shockwave - Hansen over Aoki -120 - Aoki still unproven against tough competition imo.

2.5u
UFC 66 - Perosh over Wellisch +135
Pride Shockwave - Nogueira over Barnett -115
K-1 Dynamite - Royler Gracie over Tokoro +165
IFL - Alex Schoenauer over Brent Beauparlant -115

GL!
 

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gl sen. forrest was a steal when 1st came out at-266. line is up to -300@pinny and should of at least started there. big mistake early line mistake by oddsmsakers. gl with your parlay.
 

Touting For Fried Chicken
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Nov 16, 2006
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I like the Forrest Griffin bet, Size will not be a factor here, because Forrest is just as big as Jardine, if not bigger.

I don't like the Gonzanga bet because I don't see -300 as good odds to lay on Gonzanga against Marrero would could very well GnP his way to victory.

I can see Gomi winning it but at -220, not so sold on it. Ishida is known for his relentless takedowns and inability to get subbed even by top BJJ'ers. Gomi isn't all that great on the ground. If Gomi keeps the distance and jabs it out with Ishida, I could see him win it. I would lay off this fight or put a small bet on Ishida.

I like the Minowa pick, because frankly Minowa is a lot stronger than Tamura and both of these guys are gonna throw some puoresu down. Minowa by decision.

Hansen vs Aoki will be one of those fights I would lay off on simply because Aoki is just that good in the subs and could pull guard and sub Hansen. Or Hansen could keep it standing and win by more punches landed or a GnP victory. I hope for no groin shots. :lolBIG: I'm gonna be watching and enjoying the hell out of this fight.

No comment on Perosh vs Wellisch, I think it's fairly set there, with Wellisch having the upper hand.

Barnett is looking really beat up having to fight so much imho. Not sure if he has nagging injuries but I could see Nog winning this. Although Barnett was impressive in his leg submissions in their first encounter. Nog by decision. I would lay off this one though.

I think Tokoro is the favorite here. I don't like Royler's standup and I believe Tokoro could pull out of Royler's submissions. Tokoro has been working his standup a lot and that's Royler's weakness.

IFL - Personally I like the Carlos Newton vs Renzo Matchup here. Their first encounter was an all out ground war. Very good to watch. I think Carlos wins another decision here. But I'm not so sure of Carlos' conditioning. He did have a fight in Hero's somewhat recently and he won that by TKO, but I believe he might have some ring rust in him. Carlos is clearly the stronger and larger opponent here and if his cardio keeps up, I like him to win it by decision. I hope Carlos doesn't go gentleman on Renzo and go swinging instead of a ground fight although I wouldn't be disappointed in that either.
 

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what a pride card.....amazing...i think i`ll ride along on big nog with you...


i happen to love mark hunt matched up with fedor...from a fans point of view......hunt is tougher`n rosie o`donut....and just as nasty...
looks like a fedor win...but he could certainly have some anxious moments with a striker like hunt...who has an iron chin...

fedor loves to mix it up...but has a tendency to break up.....

at better than 6 to 1?.....i know fedor`s.....well,fedor....but,hunt is a very scary opponent....

he`s a rock the boat kinda` guy...

should be a fantastic fight...
 

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