I read from different sites that baseball season is the hardest on the books as for them that is when they take their biggest losses. That never made much sense to me as i look back to the baseball season as saw that it was rough for a lot of cappers. SO my only guess is, do they say its easy because its one of the best sports to scalp as there are no pushes on sides as there are in foots and hoops? or something else I'm missing?:realtongu
hno:scriptwiz05 said:
That's because the "wiseguys" consistently over-bet and over-valued late lineup stratches last season and, because of their egos, they refused to adjust their approach. The result was that they got punished. Hence...they all BITCHED about baseball and how it can't be beat. Laughable. Baseball is definately the best sport to bet, followed by NBA basketball, NFL and then Bowl-season college football, I'd say. It's necessary to make periodic adjustments in your gambling approach when you are not getting favorable results. Closely examine your plays when you're not winning to figure out the marginal bets you're making where you probably don't have the edge.
I worked harder at beating baseball than I did any sport last year and failed. Not saying it can't be done and I will give it another try this year to the point of borderline obsession but becoming more and more convinced that scalping it (with a HUGE bankroll) is your best bet in the long run and that isn't easy either (IMO).
Fish,
If you read this, don't think I am not going to be all over you for some SECRETS this spring on taking leads and learing how to scalp more effectively, so it is worth my time.
Fish,
If you read this, don't think I am not going to be all over you for some SECRETS this spring on taking leads and learing how to scalp more effectively, so it is worth my time.
I feel that it is easy to pick a winner (no sides , no totals) just pick out who will win the game. I have won alot of money on Baseball games.
Intuition has a little to do with it and I suggest picking out 4 or 5 top level cream of the crop pitchers at the beginning of the season say week 3 and bet the pitchers every game straight up = solid
money maker.
Intuition has a little to do with it and I suggest picking out 4 or 5 top level cream of the crop pitchers at the beginning of the season say week 3 and bet the pitchers every game straight up = solid
money maker.Jake Steen hit it. You only have to win the game first of all. No point spread unless you play the run line. Two if you play in enough dogs and dont go past - 160 favorites, hitting just 48-50 percent winners in the bases is the equivalent of hitting between 60-70 percent in pointspread sports. It also holds its statistacal form better than all the sports making to team parlays a very viable way two pound the books.
There is one old time Vegas sharp whom does nothing but that and wins like crazy. Any old race and sportsbook writer from Vegas knows exactly whom I am talking about.
He is not friendly at all, but you can make a minor fortune following him, thats for sure.
There is one old time Vegas sharp whom does nothing but that and wins like crazy. Any old race and sportsbook writer from Vegas knows exactly whom I am talking about.
He is not friendly at all, but you can make a minor fortune following him, thats for sure.
One thing I don't see mentioned above is the mental grind of the 162 game season. My pattern almost every year is an excellent April and May. A great time for betting most home dogs BTW. Hope springs eternal for even the worst of clubs in the spring, especially when playing at home.
What happens to me is I wear down mentally as the season grinds on. Pretty much the same thing happens to the bottom tier clubs I do believe. The last couple of years I really cut down in both volume and amount of the bets as the season wore on. This way I showed a small profit.
I've posted this before and have discussed it at length with Fish. That is the home dog early on theory. As the shit teams eventually start their descent they become no plays for the most part. It seems to work year after year. Still I seem to get more and more clueless as the dog days of summer arrive. That may very well be due to mental fatigue more than anything else.
What happens to me is I wear down mentally as the season grinds on. Pretty much the same thing happens to the bottom tier clubs I do believe. The last couple of years I really cut down in both volume and amount of the bets as the season wore on. This way I showed a small profit.
I've posted this before and have discussed it at length with Fish. That is the home dog early on theory. As the shit teams eventually start their descent they become no plays for the most part. It seems to work year after year. Still I seem to get more and more clueless as the dog days of summer arrive. That may very well be due to mental fatigue more than anything else.
VIEJO DINOSAUR said:
dogs are good in bases, but parlaying two and more of them together doesn't magically make them tremendous. If you win at a very high rate in pointspread sports ( like 60%) then parlaying increases return, but nobody really hits that high.
Say you have 4 dogs you like bases. You could parlay and round robin them, but you settle for the price at one book. I don't want to give up the ability to look for the best price on each using exchanges and such. The best price on all 4 is almost never all at one place, plus you add variance with the parlays.... if you had only two, and parlayed them and go 1-1, you lose, but I win with the 1-1 result.
I do them straight, sometimes throw in a smaller parlay on the teams that wind up with the best price at the same shop, or parlay side to total, not side to side.
Mr. Jones said:
Wow...just about every word of that post applies to my experiences. Glorious April and May, followed by dog-days and bad-beats of June, July and August where I spin my wheels, and then a nice rebound in Spetember and post-season. I'm going to bear down more iJune through August and try to cut out those marginal plays. Good luck, man!
