Boxing 1/5 - 1/6

boxlocks · Jan 3, 2007

Played these so far...

1/5

Hanshaw over Mendy -130...big

Dogs

Peterson-Gallardo Over 5.5 +131...average

Santa Cruz-Arceo Under 8.5 +101...small

1/6

Rivera-Simms Over 11.5 -200...small

Lottery Tickets

Peters-Toney Draw +1600...very small

Toney over Karmazin +1100...very small

Might add another play on the Toney-Peters fight but I'm waiting on the weigh-ins

gl bl

punchmaster · Jan 4, 2007

boxeo

why is everyone all over Hanshaw? I see his boxing skills no doubt and he looks commited after a couple layoffs, but do we know what Mendy's upside really is- he's never lost professionally and seems like a tough ass to me. I'm staying away for the most part.

I like your over on L. Peterson/Gallardo, but I also like the under 9.5 rounds on his brother Anthony(-125)- medium. His Mexican opponent Garza looks like a come forward banger..

Also Kuma in Japan at 5 dimes at +250 (was higher) is good value for a small to medium bet.

MattRain · Jan 4, 2007

Toney 234

hno:, Peter 249 (8 pounds lighter than he was for the first fight)

boxlocks · Jan 5, 2007

punchmaster said:
why is everyone all over Hanshaw? I see his boxing skills no doubt and he looks commited after a couple layoffs, but do we know what Mendy's upside really is- he's never lost professionally and seems like a tough ass to me. I'm staying away for the most part.

I like your over on L. Peterson/Gallardo, but I also like the under 9.5 rounds on his brother Anthony(-125)- medium. His Mexican opponent Garza looks like a come forward banger..

Also Kuma in Japan at 5 dimes at +250 (was higher) is good value for a small to medium bet.

Thanks for the response

One of my associates also played Kuma in Japan and got +328 on the side

I decided to ride the play at +250 small. I realize their records are very comparable and that Kuma's southpaw stance could be the difference. But Kobori definitly has the promotional advantage here, and anything close will go his way for sure. Still, the odds are nice on a very possible upset here.

I've been looking at the Peterson-Garza Under 9.5 -125 since the line opened and I definitley agree with the play. But I have a rule against laying wood on Under bets in boxing...the biggest sucker bet of them all.

However, if Gogoladze was able to finish off Garza in 2 rounds, Peterson should be able to finish him inside the 9.5 rounds. I will continue to ponder playing this round total.

gl bl

punchmaster · Jan 5, 2007

. But I have a rule against laying wood on Under bets in boxing...the biggest sucker bet of them all.

gl bl[/quote]

Not sure where you get that, I piled on Miranda under 7.5 at even money, but then it went to -170 or so and was still a deal... and I see lots of these...

boxlocks · Jan 5, 2007

I played the Miranda Under 7.5 at +111 and then played the Over at +154 setting up $125 free cash with no risk

Obviously many fights will go Under, but I've seen too many bettors get burned laying wood on Unders and KO props. I can't tell you how many times I've looked at a fight and thought there's no way it goes the distance, and then it goes the distance (Lacy-Sheika / Peters-Klitschko etc)

I still play some Unders at + money and even money, and occasionaly I'll go out on a limb and lay the wood. But for the most part, I sit and watch others post big plays on Unders and KO props that never come through

gl bl

Hubie · Jan 5, 2007

box - just a shot in the dark here, but do you have any opinions on Nick Casal who is fighting on ShoBox tonight? He's one of my former students, and I just wanted to know if you've heard anything about him (besides the puff pieces I read in the Buffalo News and Niagara Falls Gazette)??

PurplePeopleEater · Jan 5, 2007

i am working the sho-box tonight

mendy looks like a live dog to me

hanshaw at -175 at 5dimes while mendy +155

punchmaster · Jan 5, 2007

Hubie said:
box - just a shot in the dark here, but do you have any opinions on Nick Casal who is fighting on ShoBox tonight? He's one of my former students, and I just wanted to know if you've heard anything about him (besides the puff pieces I read in the Buffalo News and Niagara Falls Gazette)??

Casal has not looked so good his last 2 fights.... He drew with a tough but very limited fighter recently. I would never lay 3 for 1 on him as available, I did a small play on the Cuban at +271

boxlocks · Jan 5, 2007

punchmaster said:
I like your over on L. Peterson/Gallardo, but I also like the under 9.5 rounds on his brother Anthony(-125)- medium. His Mexican opponent Garza looks like a come forward banger..

Like I said before, I was looking at that wager also but don't like laying juice on Unders

However

I will go out on a limb here and play the Peterson-Garza Under 9.5 -130...small

gl bl

boxlocks · Jan 5, 2007

Hubie said:
box - just a shot in the dark here, but do you have any opinions on Nick Casal who is fighting on ShoBox tonight? He's one of my former students, and I just wanted to know if you've heard anything about him (besides the puff pieces I read in the Buffalo News and Niagara Falls Gazette)??

Punchmaster pretty much said it all

I will add that Casal is a Gary Shaw fighter and GS is hosting this event, so anything close will go to Casal

I wouldn't play Casal due to the heavy odds, I wouldn't play the Cuban due to the promotional disadvantage

gl bl

boxlocks · Jan 5, 2007

boxlocks said:
Peterson-Gallardo Over 5.5 +131...average

:money8:

Hubie · Jan 5, 2007

Thanks box and punchmaster, I'm going with Casal very small - just for old times sake. I mean, when am I going to be able to wager on one of my former students again??

boxlocks · Jan 5, 2007

You can get Casal -246 at pinnacle

gl bl

Hubie · Jan 5, 2007

bl - yup, its been dropping all day...gonna wait a little while longer. thanks!!!

go2guy · Jan 5, 2007

punchmaster said:
why is everyone all over Hanshaw? I see his boxing skills no doubt and he looks commited after a couple layoffs, but do we know what Mendy's upside really is- he's never lost professionally and seems like a tough ass to me. I'm staying away for the most part.

I like your over on L. Peterson/Gallardo, but I also like the under 9.5 rounds on his brother Anthony(-125)- medium. His Mexican opponent Garza looks like a come forward banger..
Also Kuma in Japan at 5 dimes at +250 (was higher) is good value for a small to medium bet.

Good job punchmaster! Pushed me over the edge to play this with this info

punchmaster · Jan 5, 2007

go2guy said:
Good job punchmaster! Pushed me over the edge to play this with this info

thank you go2 and thank you Peterson brothers $$$$$, what a story- weren't they more or less homeless??

PurplePeopleEater · Jan 5, 2007

Casal being a Shaw fighter will not mean much unless he has him up against a nobody. this cuban could possibly fight.

crowd is decent and going to be loud if the bouts are good. fights are done with till 10

punchmaster · Jan 5, 2007

boxlocks said:
Punchmaster pretty much said it all

I will add that Casal is a Gary Shaw fighter and GS is hosting this event, so anything close will go to Casal

I wouldn't play Casal due to the heavy odds, I wouldn't play the Cuban due to the promotional disadvantage

gl bl

Yes but Casal's opponent, Izzy is also a Gary Shaw fighter... both are, I see them as maybe somewhat even, maybe the Cuban is better than we know, so had to go small on the +270. Again, can't see laying 2.5 for one on a guy who's snorted some coke, and got tagged big time by an amateurish fighter. y

slowplayer · Jan 5, 2007

Izquierdo is DOMINATING this fight.

That first rd KO was VERY questionable and it has been all Izzy since.

Boxing 1/5 - 1/6

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Smell like "lemon juice and Pledge furniture clean

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